domingo, 22 de setembro de 2013

TERRORISMO - TROMOCRATIA - TERRORISM

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f0/TerrorGuillotine.jpg/598px-TerrorGuillotine.jpg
«The guillotine during the French Revolution» in Octave Uzanne, Le Livre, Paris, A. Quantin, 1885.

TERROR IN THE NAME OF POWER, ONE OF THE MAJORS ENEMIES OF HUMANKIND OF HER LIFE AND LIBERTY, LINKED TO TIRANNY, IGNORANCE AND FANATICISM.

ALONG HISTORY, SO MANY HORRIBLE EXAMPLES BY EMPERATEUR NERO, INQUISITIONS, FRENCH REVOLUTION, III REICH, STALIN, FRANCO, SALAZAR, ETA, IRA, FARC, INDONESIA IN EAST TIMOR, BALKANS AND NOW ISLAMIC FANATICISM ...

WHAT HAPPENING IN NAIROBI,  LYBIA, SYRIA, LIKE IN THE PAST IN NEW YORK, WASHINGTON, LONDON, MADRID, MOSCOW, BAGDAD, INDONESIA ET CETERA, SHOW VERY WELL THE ENEMIES OF HUMANITY AND LIBERTY, WITHOUT ANY RESPECT FOR THE PERSONS, FOR THEMSELVES, FOR THE CREATOR AND THE CREATION (WITH THE LIBERTY OF EACH ONE HAVE OR NOT HAVE A PERSONAL FAITH).
NAIROBI SHOW THE PROBLEM OF WEAPONS AND IT SHAMELESS BUSINESS AND INDUSTRY, THE PROBLEM OF FIGHT AGAINST SYRIAN AND LYBIAN OPRESSIVE SYSTEMS BUT INCREASE THE POWER OF THE FANATICISM ...
THE INCREDIBLE WAR IN IRAK WAS MANIPULATED AND CREATED A LOT OF PROBLEMS DESPITE THE HORRIBLE TYRANT USED FOR LEGITIMATION.

FOR ALL VICTIMS OF TERRORISM, GOD BLESS YOU, FOR ALL PERSONS THAT HELP THEM GOD BLESS YOU. FOR THE MANIPULATED HUMAN BEINGS BY FANATICISM, SLAVES OF POWER, THE HOPE THAT ONE DAY SOME OF THEM DEEP UNDERSTAND CLEAR WHAT THEY DO WITH THE HELP OF GOD ... WHAT SHAME, WHAT COWARDICE, THE LIFE AND LIBERTY OF ALL PERSONS ARE SACRED!!!
http://www.abc.net.au/news/image/4973334-3x2-700x467.jpg
https://encrypted-tbn3.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcQR-gtwBwRl47b_AYPv514GE67HmHbx9eiVacDFiruVEaRR-vWIwQ



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://www.ndjglobalnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/westgate-mall-shooting-nairobi.jpg
Persons help victims!
File:National Park Service 9-11 Statue of Liberty and WTC fire.jpg
2001 attack in United States of America is an horrible example of all terrorist acts along History ... against Human Beings!

TERRORISM MUST STOP! FINIS FACIENDUS TROMOCRATIA!

Remember us a leader with a great courage, victim of fanaticism,
bhutto%20benazir[1].jpg
http://www.topnews.in/files/benazir-bhutto3_0.jpg
Benazir Bhutto.

And precisely in Pakistan a new monstrosity from fanatics happened:

«(...) "Every Christian is feeling under siege in Pakistan,” said Tahir Naveed Chaudhry, a Christian lawyer and chairman of the Pakistan Minorities Alliance.
Last year, Chaudhry successfully defended a young Christian girl from charges of blasphemy after a Muslim cleric accused her of burning the Koran. The girl fled to Canada with her parents in March. That month, hundreds of Christians were forced to flee their neighborhood in the eastern city of Lahore after a mob set dozens of houses on fire while accusing a man of blasphemy.
But the scale of the latest bombing stunned much of Pakistan, reigniting memories of an attack in 2001 in which gunmen stormed a Roman Catholic church in Punjab province and killed 15 worshipers.
“I rushed to the site and saw dead bodies and wounded people, mostly women and children screaming,” Saeed Ullah, 24, said after Sunday’s blast.
As gruesome images from the attack flashed across television screens, several major Pakistani political parties called for three days of mourning.
Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif issued a statement in which he pledged “solidarity” with Pakistan’s Christian community. “Terrorists have no religion, and targeting innocent people is against the teachings of Islam and all religions,” he said.
Outside All Saints Church, relatives of the dead and injured set tires ablaze and shouted complaints against the police and the attackers. The crowd said security forces had not done enough to protect the church.
“It was a security collapse,” said Asif Bhatti, a former local lawmaker from the Peshawar area who attended All Saints Church.
Protests erupted in several cities, including in Karachi, about 800 miles from the scene of the bombing. Residents of Christian neighborhoods in that sprawling seaport blocked traffic and threw stones at passing vehicles, according to local media.
Michael Javed, a Christian leader in Karachi who runs several schools, said the attack left many Christians in the country feeling powerless and unprotected. Christians make up about 1 to 2 percent of Pakistan’s population. About 97 percent of residents in the country identify as Muslim.
Just 12 days ago, Javed said, he got a call from a man who threatened to “drown my school” and kill his family if he did not pay a ransom or leave the area.
He and other Christian leaders said their safety has deteriorated since the U.S.-led war in Afghanistan, as Islamist militants began targeting people they suspected of holding Western beliefs.
The Taliban-linked Jundallah group that took credit for Sunday’s attack has been tied to past attempts to fuel sectarian and religious discord in Pakistan.
Ahmad Marwat, commander of the group, vowed that the attacks would continue until U.S. drone strikes are halted.
According to security officials, a suspected U.S. drone fired four missiles Sunday into a house near the border of North and South Waziristan, a tribal area known as a haven for militants and foreign fighters who often cross the border into Afghanistan.
Six militants were killed in the strike, including some foreigners, according to a Pakistani intelligence official who spoke on the condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to discuss the matter publicly.
Pakistan’s government condemned the action, saying in a statement that such strikes “set dangerous precedents in inter-state relations.”

Khan reported from Peshawar.» http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/dozens-killed-as-suicide-bombers-attack-christian-worshipers-in-pakistan/2013/09/22/d2805f6c-237e-11e3-b3e9-d97fb087acd6_story.html?hpid=z3
http://cdn.controlinveste.pt/storage/TSF/2013/small/ng2774255.jpg
Brutal negative forces that don´t respect nothing, included the persons that they manipulated as weapons. God bless all victims and them families and friends!

Beautiful photo by Katherine Kiviat (http://www.katherinekiviat.com/#/pakistan/christians-in-pakistan/StThomas04)

Again about Syria in a war without any respect of the civilians from all parts (Syrian regime and opositors opression and violation over the life and liberty of persons of Civil Society):
«I appeal to the world leaders - please, set aside their differences, unite to end the violence, and make diplomacy succeed (...)
Every 14 seconds someone crosses Syria's border and becomes a refugee, (...) And by the end of this year, half of Syria's population, 10 million people, will be in desperate need of food, shelter, and assistance.» Angelina Jolie, a constant supporter of the refugees in 21-6-2013!


Syrian war acute most acute humanitarian crisis: Angelina Jolie

«Why is no one standing by the Syrian people? No one is helping us (...) They all say they want to support us, but nothing is being done. They have conferences and make statements, but it is worth nothing.» 
Umm Mohammad (Syrian woman refugee)

Stop weapons to Syria, eliminate all weapons that threat Population from all players of the conflict.

ELEIÇÕES LOCAIS E ALGO MAIS - LOCI ELECTIONES ET ALIQUID ALIUD - LOCAL ELECTIONS AND SOMETHING ELSE


O que poderiam ser também eleições legislativas, vão ser apenas locais, 
Porque do PS assim o quiseram certos senhores feudais 
Não era o seu timing, precisavam de mais tempo 
Não era o seu espaço, precisavam de mais campo

Do tempo que perderam a dar poder a forças externas
Do espaço que perderam para mesquinhas forças internas 
Que em conluio pela sua vontade de poder a Nação traíram
Que pela vontade de forças pseudo liberais Portugal desvalorizam

Era urgente parar com essa desvalorização
Era fundamental apoiar a valorização
Criar melhores condições para o indelével desenvolvimento
Transcender os limites materialistas e efémeros do crescimento

Que tempo e espaço perdido por essas forças negativas
Sim era muito urgente recuperar tudo o que foi perdido
Actividades económicas, empregos, Valor das forças positivas
As heroínas Empresas e Famílias com o seu devir supreendido

É urgente acabar com abusos de posição dominante
Venham do Estado, de artificiais cartéis e monopólios
Com as suas rendas excessivas obtidas também em oligopólios
São séculos e séculos de oligarquias parasitas com os seus espólios

A grande revisão das normas da Constituição
São as que poderão dar mais força à Nação
Como por exemplo permitir a avaliação intercalar
Da delegação de poder, da representação parlamentar

Para todo este abuso de poder delegado evitar  
Para que não possam Portugal mais tramar
Depois de também fortemente ter sido prejudicado o Ultramar 
Pelo anterior poder usurpado que alguns pretendem aviltar

Mas que grande desperdício e desvalorização
Tem realizado a presente e desastrosa governação 
Com o apoio do já reformado Presidente da República, 
Da Presidente tão nova e já dependente da reforma pública,
A da Assembleia da República cuja maioria na subserviência descambou
Do Presidente da Comissão Europeia, que do cargo de Primeiro-Ministro desertou

Mas o PSD ao País não podia e não calou
Vai-se apresentar às locais eleições com um manto que o disfarçou
Vai tentar na confusão das pessoas e coligações que o representam
Disfarçar qualquer desastre que pelas suas negativas acções o repudiam 

As suas demonstradas faltas de ética e amplas incapacidades 
Há muito tempo ficaram claras perante as Polis - Cidades
Após décadas de desperdício de dinheiros públicos
Continuam as actuações e caminhos muito pouco bíblicos

Em cada pessoa que para o Governo é escolhida
Há quase sempre uma verdade omitida e escondida
Desde os seus secretários de Estado
Até aos seus ministros, que miserável ético estado

Não existem alternativas muitos dizem com convicção
Não gostam do líder da oposição
Gostam mais de outros que têm carácter de pavão
Às forças da posição interessa a confusão

Mas apesar das suas limitações
Tem muito mais ética que os pavões
E tem afirmado verdades
Que evidenciam as falsidades

Prefiro o seu bom Humanismo
À pseudo eficácia de certo político pragmatismo
Que tanto tem fragilizado o democrático socialismo 
O modelo de «Bête politique» de grande manipulador 
Artista na selva política que nos tem causado tanta dor
Precisa claramente de um sucessor

Não tem o carisma que despoleta a emoção?
Não tem capacidade de «catalisar almas» e levá-las à nobre acção?
Não tem a força necessária para vencer os feudos e dominantes posições?
Mas quem tem essas raras características, os pavões?
Com todas suas limitantes e mesquinhas ambições?
Não, penso que não ...
Seria outra vez mais da mesma ilusão
Que levou a muitos a tanta frustração

O bom humanista não antecipou e enfrentou os erros troikistas?
Não propôs o que mais tarde se tornou evidente mesmo para os seguidistas?
Cambada de desvalorizadores aculturados, grandes parasitas e oportunistas
Que agora criticam os internacional pseudo liberais e monetaristas
Mas não os europeus monetaristas e pseudo liberais
Que nem uma autocrítica a fizeram e que são tão brutais
Com os seus monstruosos erros colossais
Omitindo as suas fazem pagar bem caro as culpas gregas
Tratam Portugal na mesma moeda, com as suas políticas cegas

Vejam bem cidadãos germânicos para o que se está a passar
À valiosa Europa isto não vai interessar
Vulnerabilizar tanto as Nações Grego - Latinas
De Leste a Oeste, da Romania à Península Ibérica
De Norte a Sul até à Península Itálica
Para não falar das Nações Celtas

Não se trata de culpar culpados
De fazer expiar os seus pecados
Trata-se de assumir que o modelo estava errado
E que o efeito da causa foi muito diferenciado

Há muito para renegociar e viabilizar
Para a bom porto aportar
Tanto desperdício parar
E a valorização apoiar!


António José Seguro salientou muito bem:
«Já se queixou dos portugueses, chamou-lhes piegas quando diziam que era preciso mudar de rumo e eu pergunto: Quem está errado? O povo ou o primeiro-ministro?»
«Foi para além da "troika" para satisfazer os mercados, mas vem queixar-se de que os mercados não o compreendem. É um incompreendido»

O embaixador da Alemanha em Portugal, Helmut Elfenkämper, afirmou em relação a Portugal em 22-09-2013, dias das eleições federais da Alemanha: «(...) a estratégia de consolidação orçamental [teve] efeitos colaterais que não estavam previstos na dimensão em que aconteceram na realidade, com esta grande taxa do desemprego e a perda de poder de compra para muita gente (...) naturalmente preocupante [implica encontrar alternativas para continuar] o caminho de consolidação em Portugal e noutros países do Sul da Europa (...) a Alemanha está pronta a ajudar. (...)
[Os alemães que vivem em Portugal] têm seguido com muita atenção os movimentos da opinião pública portuguesa durante toda esta crise (...) conhecem bem (...) tem sido acompanhado na Alemanha com muita simpatia, todos os esforços que têm sido feitos, os sacrifícios da população (...)».

«A data crucial para o regresso aos mercados é 23 de Setembro de 20113 e certamente esperamos ter crescimento positivo antes disso» - Vítor Gaspar como ministro das finanças em 19-03-2012

«Ainda em Maio deste ano os nossos juros a dez anos estavam quase a baixar a fasquia dos cinco por cento. Isso dava-nos uma perspectiva boa de fechar o actual processo de ajuda económica e financeira e de poder, com uma ajuda europeia, transitar para mercado e fechar este programa de assistência. Mas quero dizer-vos que com juros como sete por cento como temos tido, é mais difícil (...) em primeiro lugar (...) algum preconceito [dos mercados em relação a Portugal] (...) temos de mostrar a todos que estamos completamente comprometidos com a meta que traçámos, mesmo sabendo que essas metas foram várias vezes muito mais exigentes do que aquelas que eram exigidas a outros (...)
Medidas como o corte nas pensões são decisivas para evitar novo pedido de resgate» - Pedro Passos Coelho como primeiro-ministro em 21-09-2013

sábado, 21 de setembro de 2013

GERMÂNIA VII - GERMANIA VII - GERMANY VII

http://www2.pictures.zimbio.com/gi/Hannelore+Kraft+SPD+Holds+Deutschland+Fest+wSxSzBNVQzjl.jpg
http://www4.pictures.zimbio.com/gi/Hannelore+Kraft+SPD+Holds+Deutschland+Fest+p8RhheSl_l9l.jpg
http://cache.daylife.com/imageserve/074i4Ly7Xr8GP/350x.jpg
https://encrypted-tbn1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcTkUCPw3qOrmWLx_yqDaQMFSceVNdiFUEDlj9HiHrARFRnNSGAVughttp://www.thelocal.de/articleImages/34507.jpg

http://www.presseurop.eu/files/images/article/merkel-elections.jpg?1301318948BERLIN, GERMANY - SEPTEMBER 16:  German Chancellor and Chairwoman of the German Christian Democrats (CDU) Angela Merkel poses with leading CDU board members during a media opportunity outside CDU headquarters on September 16, 2013 in Berlin, Germany. Germany faces federal elections on September 22 and so far the CDU has a strong lead in polls over the opposition.Activists of the Pirate Party stage a scene during which a likeness of German Chancellor and right-wing Christian Democrats Party CDU candidate Angela Merkel is handed a visa for 'Neuland', literally 'new territory' used by Merkel to qualify the internet, in front of the chancellery in Berlin September 17, 2013. The internet-savvy Pirate Party has criticised the chancellor for failing to take into account the importance of the world wide web. Germans go to the polls on September 22, 2013.
https://www.deutschland.de/sites/default/files/styles/stage/public/field_visuals/die-linke_ccdielinke_a.jpg?itok=g2KQ5JLR
http://econintersect.com/images/2013/4/47710241ar847d1.pnghttps://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcRXvD0sAMKFtXUP5CREzwd6UxxKIey7X-IF5D93VGRlg4cPhDbV-Q



Europe stil waiting for a change in Government of Germany decided by German Persons. Political parties still with a limited culture, persons don´t have great alternatives, but the same way (CDU/CSU+FDP) is not a good way for Germany and Europe. Better alternatives seems like that:

CDU/CSU+SPD
SPD+CDU/CSU
SPD+GREEN 

If opinion polling is not distant to reality, SPD seems increase it votes in last weeks and CDU/CSU decrease and only way for a change it´s FDP (liberals) don´t enter in Bundestag (votes < 5% oof the total). Seems a good sense moderate CDU/CSU by SPD in a conservative point of view, because the way of actual Government don´t have exits, create more problems for Europe and Germany than solve problems or create conditions to solutions. Liberals move the worst of liberalism and don´t give to us the best of it. We need more courage to strenght Europe from all Europeans to all Europeans, Americans and all Persons thhat share European Values, side by side, for a better World with much more Democratic and Christian dimensions, with a strong respect for Women, Men, Children, Nature, World, Creator (God)! 

«Opinion polling for the German federal election, 2013», September 22 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_German_federal_election,_2013:

Institute Date CDU/CSU SPD GREEN FDP LINKE PIRATES AfD Others
2009 election 27 September 2009 33.8% 23.0% 10.7% 14.6% 11.9% 2.0% 4.0%
Allensbach 20 September 2013 39.5% 27.0% 9.0% 5.5% 9.0% 2.0% 4.5% 3.5%
Forsa 20 September 2013 40% 26% 10% 5% 9% 2% 4% 4%
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 19 September 2013 40% 27% 9% 5.5% 8.5% - 4% 6%
INSA/YouGov 19 September 2013 38% 28% 8% 6% 9% 2% 5% 4%
Allensbach 18 September 2013 39.0% 26.0% 11.0% 6.0% 9.0% 2.0% 3.5% 3.5%
Trend Research 18 September 2013 38% 27% 10% 5% 9% - 4.5% 9.5%
Forsa 17 September 2013 39% 25% 9% 5% 10% 3% 3% 6%
INSA/YouGov 15 September 2013 38% 27% 11% 4% 8% 3% 4% -
Emnid 15 September 2013 39% 26% 10% 5% 9% 3% 4% 4%
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13 September 2013 40% 26% 11% 6% 8% - 4% 5%
Infratest dimap 12 September 2013 40% 28% 10% 5% 8% 2.5% 2.5% 4%
Forsa 11 September 2013 39% 25% 9% 6% 10% 3% 3% 5%
GMS 10 September 2013 40% 25% 11% 5% 9% 3% 3% 4%
INSA/YouGov 9 September 2013 39% 28% 11% 4% 8% 3% 3% 4%
Emnid 8 September 2013 40% 25% 11% 5% 9% 3% 3% 4%
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5 September 2013 41% 26% 10% 6% 8% - 3% 6%
Infratest dimap 5 September 2013 41% 27% 10% 5% 8% - 3% 6%
Allensbach 4 September 2013 40.0% 25.0% 12.5% 6.0% 7.5% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5%
Forsa 4 September 2013 40% 23% 11% 5% 9% 3% 4% 5%
INSA/YouGov 2 September 2013 39% 26% 13% 5% 8% 3% 3% 3%
Emnid 1 September 2013 39% 23% 11% 6% 10% 3% 3% 5%
Infratest dimap 29 August 2013 41% 26% 11% 5% 8% - 3% 6%
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 29 August 2013 41% 26% 12% 6% 7% - 3% 5%
Forsa 28 August 2013 41% 22% 11% 5% 10% 3% 3% 5%
INSA/YouGov 26 August 2013 39% 25% 14% 6% 7% 3% 3% 3%
Emnid 25 August 2013 40% 25% 12% 5% 8% 3% 3% 4%
Infratest dimap 23 August 2013 42% 24% 12% 5% 9% 2% 3% 3%

These are some ideas of the last speech of Angela Merkel (CDU) before elections:
«A estabilização do euro não é só boa para a Europa, é do interesse da Alemanha (...) Assegura os nossos postos de trabalho. [A Alemanha] só está bem, se a Europa estiver bem. (...)
Perguntam-me o que sinto quando vou à Grécia ou a Portugal e as pessoas se manifestam contra mim. E eu digo: 'Fico contente.' Porque esse foi um direito que eu não tive durante muitos anos. E fico contente por vivermos com liberdade de opinião, liberdade de imprensa, liberdade religiosa (...).
[A Alemanha foi] o doente da Europa (...) [é necessária solidariedade para com os] países que estão hoje fracos [mas que têm de ter reformas em troca de resgastes] (...) solidariedade só não é garantia de sucesso. (...)
Peço-vos, pessoalmente, que usem o vosso segundo voto para assegurar que eu posso continuar a ser a vossa chanceler (...) Tivemos mais sucesso nos últimos quatro anos.»
Merkel said again that don´t defend the eurobonds or the mutualization of the debt like SPD defend and remember that never Europe have so much time without wars.

Europe and Germany needs other kind of ideas and policies ...
http://cdn.controlinveste.pt/storage/DN/2013/small/ng2772708.jpg?type=small&pos=0

NEGÓCIO - NEGOTIUM - BUSINESS

«The etymology of "business" relates to the state of being busy either as an individual or society, as a whole, doing commercially viable and profitable work.» (Wikipedia - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business). Latin NEGOTIUM means NEGATIO of OTIUM (leisure). In Portuguese language Negócio, Negação do Ócio (lazer).
In History of Humankind at the moment that a Person or Family turns more and more dependent of the work to the others Persons, for Community and Society, that work turns more and more dependent of it social validation by it needs, it Value for Society. If other social players don´t recognize it potential value, the fruit of the work (a product, a service, a merchandise) can´t be changed by other fruit of work, in the course of History by a recognized symbol of the Value, the money.
By science and technology, by invention and inovation Women and Men turned work more and more soft, less and less hard ... potencial time for leisure grows more and more like Karl Marx said in XIX century ...
A long and interesting travel we can do in this way with actual potential of work is more and more a pleisure like a leisure, and leisure is more and more a work a dream in cork!

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/0/0e/The_Baths_at_Caracalla.jpg/392px-The_Baths_at_Caracalla.jpg
OTIUM: «The Baths at Caracalla» Laurentius Alma-Tadema (1899)

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-A7NUreLsFiA/UZ9O8HtuFaI/AAAAAAAAK4Q/EWb62VLUwLo/s1600/PELCOR_lovebox.jpg
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-GSamRUS7CuU/UZ9PTSvebjI/AAAAAAAAK5A/pTmHBk-V54Y/s1600/Pelcor+LoveBox4.jpg
From Portugal to the world with Love (AMOR) ...
http://www.lifecooler.com/Edicoes/imagens/@artigos/15291_40.JPG
Sandra Martins, «Chairwomen» of PELCOR, from her dreams leaded a successful Portuguese company that transform the MATERIA (cork of oak) in a PRODUCT of Fashion or Leisure chains of value.
«A diagonal sectionthrough the trunk of a cork oak, Quercus suber» photo by Plantsurfer (Wikipedia) and the internet site of PELCOR in a historical moment:
File:Cork oak trunk section.jpg
http://behance.vo.llnwd.net/profiles5/107741/projects/239579/1077411254521667.jpg

Sandra Martins in a Cork Oak: Portugal is leader in the world in cork production and in share market in international trade.

http://shoppingspirit.pt/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Pelcor-abre-segunda-loja-no-centro-de-Lisboa.jpg
A Lisbon shop of PELCOR
https://www.pelcor.pt/pelcor/themes/pelcor/img/logo_entrada.gif
PORTUGAL have proud of PELCOR vision and mission!

« 

Project

More than a fashion accessory, every Pelcor product is the result of nine years of waiting. The warm sun in the meadow. Cold and crisp mornings. Birds that come and go. Numbers registering the time to come. The passing of time. Generations of knowledge, interpreted by old hands that love and care. A scent that permeates our memory and serves as inspiration.
Pelcor® is about design, innovation and sustainability – qualities that are conveyed to our customers through every accessory in the collection. This is an ecological brand, inventive and sophisticated, that embodies a single, natural product: cork skin.
Pelcor® accessories are sustainable. They contribute to the renewal of an ecosystem – the Portuguese cork oak forests - and are manufactured in local factories using Eco-friendly materials.
Pelcor® with its trendy undertone, combines contemporary design with excellent craftsmanship. Translated into simple shapes from natural materials such as cork and leather, the collection is appropriate for work, special occasions, and in more relaxed settings. The different textures of cork skin bring a touch of elegance and individuality to each accessory.
Pelcor® offers beautiful accessories for everyday life, the office and travel.


Cork

The essence of every Pelcor piece, cork is a vegetal fabric extracted from the cork oak tree that thrives in the Mediterranean.
A symbol of renewal and longevity, the cork oak has a lifetime of 250-350 years and is the only tree whose bark regenerates itself after each harvest. It takes 20 to 25 years before the first cork can be removed from a cork oak. After the first extraction, cork can be harvested every nine years. An adult cork oak produces several hundred pounds at each harvesting and will live for many generations. It survives and prospers as part of a unique worldwide ecosystem: the cork oak meadow.
After the tiradia (process of harvesting), the cork is left to dry in the meadow. Raw planks of cork are then boiled, making them more elastic and easier to flatten, after which they are sorted by thickness and quality. Only the finest quality of cork is selected for manufacturing into Pelcor® accessories.
Characterized by an elusive scent of dry wood and a smooth texture, Pelcor® cork skin is extremely light, waterproof, flexible, resistant, insulating and environmentally friendly. As in nature, no two Pelcor pieces are exactly alike – subtle chromatic variations make each an utterly unique article.

History

The history of Pelcor began 30 years ago with a cork factory in São Brás de Alportel in Portugal, in the heart of the country’s cork industry.
That factory, to this day, makes champagne corks for many of the finest vintners in France and Spain. It has been the life’s work of three generations of Correias, the latest being Sandra Correia, granddaughter of the founder.
In 2003, Ms. Correia challenged her father with the idea of making cork more “feminine” and, in fact, fashionable. She envisioned creating accessories out of cork skin as a way to help sustain the cork industry and innovate products that are both stylish and practical.
Her vision was realized with the first accessory she made: a cork umbrella. It was so exuberantly received at an international trade show that it launched her new brand, Pelcor. The brand’s name is taken from the Portuguese words for skin (pel) and cork (cor). Pelcor® offered a range of innovative fashion accessories, and products for the home and office, marrying compelling designs with creativity. It developed partnerships with a number of designers and companies including ModaLisboa | LisboaFashionWeek to develop limited edition accessories as well, among them the Love Bag (2011), Freedom Bag (2012) and Trust Bag (2013.)
It didn’t take long for Pelcor to become an iconic, international Portuguese brand, one enlisted again and again to represent its country. Pelcor was called upon to create custom merchandise for the NATO Summit in Lisbon (2010) and for such international luminaries as President Barack Obama, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and German Chancellor Angela Merkel.
In 2011, Ms. Correia was named “Best Entrepreneur of Europe,” awarded by the European Parliament and European Council of Women Entrepreneurs. The award reflects her role in reinventing Portugal’s traditionally conservative cork products sector. In 2013 Pelcor® celebrates its 10th anniversary, with expansion into the U.S. and other key markets. »

https://www.pelcor.pt/en/mundo-pelcor/

In a work of Pedro Sousa Tavares for Diário de Notícias (September 20, 2013), Sandra Martins said that United States of America (USA) represented between 20% and 30% of turnover, that is «a very much eco-friendly market (...) Look to Portugal with kindness, like our country and are motivated to help to open United States for Portugal».
About the «New Begining» iniciative lauched by the President of USA with the participation of PELCOR, Sandra Martins said: «Quando explico o que fazemos, as pessoas que não conhecem ficam interessadas. Muitos dos empresários de 29 países que estão comigo não conhecem o sobreiro. E ficam estupefactos com as coisas que se podem fazer com o sobreiro.»
For Portuguese persons with spirit of iniciative advised: «Têm de ser visionários e de acreditar naquilo que fazem. Depois precisam de bons profissionais e colaboradores que asegurem, em todas as áreas, que essa visãoo se concretiza».

sexta-feira, 20 de setembro de 2013

TROIKA (TRIGA): ASCENSÃO E QUEDA II - ORTUM ET OCCASUM II - THE RISE AND FALL II

«Missão da Troika na Assembleia da República, Lisboa, 18/09/2013» foto de Natacha Cardoso / Global Imagens https://globalimagens.pt/pages/relacionadas.xhtml?popup=14719752&imagem=14719735 

Incredible that the party of Prime Minister of Portugal, PSD, criticize IMF (not German Government, not ECB or EC) after a long way of supporting that institution since power assalt.   

IMF errors that turns more Poor tugal and other countries are visible again in IMF limited reflections (with them blindness they see what can see): 




IMF POLICY PAPER September 17, 2013
«REASSESSING THE ROLE AND MODALITIES OF FISCAL POLICY IN ADVANCED ECONOMIES» 
http://www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2013/072113.pdf

«(...) 47. The fundamental challenge facing policymakers today is to reduce deficits and debt levels in a way that ensures stability but is sufficiently supportive of short-term economic growth, employment, and equity. As many AEs grapple with high public debt and unsustainable fiscal deficits, the design of fiscal adjustment—in terms of both speed and content—has returned to the forefront of the policy debate. Recent international experience has stimulated an active debate regarding the optimal pace of fiscal consolidation and how that pace depends on the state of the economy, the conditions of public finances, and the extent of market pressures.
48. The choice of the appropriate speed of adjustment has to weigh the costs (i.e. adverse short-run effects on growth) against the benefits (i.e. reduction in sovereign risk) of a faster adjustment. Countries that have lost access to financial markets often have little choice but to frontload fiscal consolidation. For economies with access to markets, however, a number of countryspecific factors are likely to shape the choice of the speed of adjustment.
49. Frontloaded fiscal consolidation was often thought to be the most effective approach to restoring the health of public finances. Based on a cross-country panel analysis, Alesina and Ardagna (1998) argues that frontloaded fiscal adjustment: (i) maximizes debt reduction, since the earlier a country achieves a high primary surplus, the higher would be the cumulative primary surpluses and therefore the more debt reduction over any given horizon; (ii) minimizes corporate and household uncertainties about (future) fiscal consolidation needs, which would otherwise weigh on private demand; (iii) boosts market confidence (especially in countries experiencing sovereign stress) and lowers government yields, with knock-on benefits for both fiscal indicators and private investment; and (iv) is associated with higher long-term growth and more durable debt reduction.
50. However, the desirability of frontloaded fiscal consolidations was less established in policy circles. Some IMF studies of large fiscal adjustments (Horton and others, 2006, for example) found that both frontloaded and phased consolidations could be durable. Moreover, for a sample of emerging economies, Baldacci and others (2006) found that “large and back-loaded fiscal adjustments have the highest likelihood of success.” A more recent study of 66 fiscal consolidation plans in the EU over 1991–2007 by Abbas and others (2011) also suggests that policymakers were not convinced about the benefits of frontloading consolidation, since less than one-fourth of the plans studied envisaged frontloaded consolidation.
51. The crisis has reignited the debate on the merits of frontloaded fiscal adjustment. As discussed above, there are reasons to believe that fiscal multipliers are higher during crises than in normal times, and that hysteresis effects could be more pronounced in deep recessions.30 As a result, a view has emerged that excessive frontloading can hurt growth to the point that it undermines social and political cohesion, and weakens rather than strengthens market confidence (Cottarelli and Jaramillo, 2012). In such an environment, frontloaded efforts may even be “selfdefeating,” and fail to achieve the consolidation targets in the short run due to negative growth and negative confidence effects. For this to happen, the initial level of the debt-to-GDP ratio must already be high and the negative growth impact on the denominator of the debt-to-GDP ratio must be large enough to increase the debt ratio in the short run (Eyraud and Weber, 2013). IMF (2012e) analyzes the case of the UK to show that the combination of multipliers that are asymmetrically

30 Hysteresis is expected to be more pronounced during deep recessions: the unemployment rate, the duration of unemployment spells (which increases non-linearly with the unemployment rate), and the probability of dropping out of the labor market are all higher.

large in recessions and substantial hysteresis effects can render frontloaded consolidations welfarereducing.
52. While too much frontloading may be “self-defeating,” excessive delay may also be very costly. In particular, if markets lose confidence in the government’s willingness eventually to put fiscal policy on a sustainable footing and start to demand higher interest rates, then debt dynamics can quickly become unsustainable. Given the uncertainty about the point at which a country will lose market access, and the possibility of multiple equilibria, judgments about whether consolidation programs are excessively frontloaded will be uncertain in practice: country authorities will never be in a position to know for sure whether a slightly more gradual adjustment path than that opted for would have been accepted by markets or would have led to a collapse of confidence.
On the other hand, Blanchard, Mauro, and Dell’Ariccia (2013) have argued that given the limited empirical evidence in support of confidence effects, frontloading as a means to increase confidence does not seem desirable, except for countries facing market pressures.
53. The cost of excessive frontloading or excessive postponement can be particularly large, even nonlinear, during deep recessions.31 As discussed above, fiscal multipliers are especially large when monetary policy is constrained by the ZLB and credit is tight; and the cost of an output loss is larger and hysteresis effects are more pronounced than usual when the economy is in a slump. But the costs of indefinite postponement of needed adjustment are also particularly large during deep recessions because the risk of a confidence crisis and associated output losses may increase non-linearly with the size of fiscal imbalances. Even if a crisis can be avoided, a modest increase in interest rates can still have severe effects when government debt is high. The risk of a confidence crisis or higher interest rates may be high enough that there is social and political
consensus to move ahead with fiscal adjustment.
54. As mere promises to undertake fiscal adjustment later may not be persuasive, gradual consolidation needs to be anchored in a credible medium-term plan. In countries with some fiscal space in the short run, policymakers concerned about the growth impact of fiscal adjustment could approve deficit reduction measures now, but phase in the actual spending cuts and tax increases. For example, reforms to public pension plans can be legislated now, but with much of the savings only starting to accumulate starting several years out, as seen with the reforms to Social Security in the United States in the 1980s (Romer, 2012). However, in the absence of a “perfect commitment technology” that can ensure that fiscal adjustment promised for later will be implemented, a gradual fiscal adjustment should, in general, involve a “modicum” of fiscal adjustment at an early stage and be anchored in a credible medium-term plan (Blanchard and
Cottarelli, 2010; Cottarelli and Viñals, 2009; Abbas and others, 2010; IMF Fiscal Monitor, various
issues). To reduce the risk of a negative market reaction, medium-term adjustment plans should be
supported by reforms to strengthen fiscal institutions, as discussed below, and broader structural 

31 For a more in-depth discussion of possible nonlinearities arising from following “extreme” approaches, see
Cottarelli (2013). 

reforms to boost growth (Everaert and Allard, 2010; IMF, 2012a).32 Given a credible plan supported by strong fiscal institutions, if growth does underperform (relative to expectations), the government should allow automatic stabilizers to operate. This means letting headline balances deteriorate, as
long as the structural fiscal adjustment plan is on track and the market does not react badly (IMF, 2012d).33
55. Countries under market pressures, however, may still have little choice but to frontload adjustment. They will face higher interest rates, which will translate into a higher debt service and crowd out socially beneficial spending (Debrun and Kinda, 2013). Moreover, these countries risk losing market access if adjustment efforts are not viewed as credible or sufficient (e.g., to stabilize the debt ratio and put it on a declining path over time). As we have seen for some euro area members, countries in a weak fiscal position that are facing market pressure or have lost market access have undertaken large and frontloaded adjustments (Figures 14 and 15; see also the IMF Fiscal Monitor, various issues). In many countries, fiscal imbalances are of such magnitude that addressing them in the near term would require adjustment on a scale that would dramatically
impact economic activity and would have devastating consequences for the provision of
government services. Depending on the elasticity of the response of output to deficit reduction, and
of interest rates to growth, it is conceivable that a very large adjustment could lead—at least in the
short run—to an increase, rather than a decline, in debt ratios and borrowing costs. Accordingly,
even for countries under market pressure there are “speed limits” that govern the desirable pace of
adjustment (Cottarelli, 2013).
56. The crisis has reaffirmed the precrisis views on cross-country fiscal policy coordination
and fiscal spillovers. In the early phase of the crisis, a fairly broad consensus emerged that the
unprecedented shocks hitting AEs required international coordination of fiscal stimulus measures.34
As the conventional view predicts, and the previous section illustrates, the channels along which
fiscal spillovers operate can work during consolidations too, with effects of consolidation amplified
when synchronized across countries, especially when monetary policy accommodation is
constrained by the ZLB. This would argue in favor of coordinating policies across AEs to reduce the
synchronization of fiscal adjustment efforts, but since 2010, this has not been achieved.

32 In this context, consideration could be given to making a more gradual adjustment contingent on a commitment to specific growth-enhancing structural reforms.
33 Consistent with this, the IMF and some euro area member states have successfully argued for a relaxation of headline fiscal deficit targets, even in crisis countries such as Ireland and Spain, as long as progress is being made on structural fiscal adjustment plans. The Fund has also advised countries with relatively more fiscal space and the confidence of markets (e.g., Germany, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and the United States) to slow the pace of consolidation if growth slows down (IMF, 2012d).
34 See the section on fiscal policy as a countercyclical tool and references therein.

57. The lack of broad support for coordinating adjustment efforts illustrates the challenges of policy coordination when national interests do not coincide. One argument for more gradual or back-loaded adjustment in countries with fiscal space is that, by reducing spillovers, it allows for slower (less frontloaded) adjustment in countries without fiscal space. However, countries may be reluctant to smooth frontloaded adjustments for the purpose of reducing negative spillovers if this puts market confidence at risk and reduces their own fiscal space. Although a coordinated adjustment could ultimately benefit all countries, a cooperative agreement may be hard to reach and, because countries have no ex-post incentive to comply, even harder to sustain (IMF, 2007a). (...)»

«Approved By Olivier Blanchard and Carlo Cottarelli»

In another point of view we can see the work of Naomi Klein (http://www.naomiklein.org/shock-doctrine) that give salience to the opportunity for neo liberal forces gaven by 2008-... crisis with euro area crisis included, with Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Spain and Italy as a zone to invasion for that negative forces with the badly sides of the liberals and not with them good sides:


«In THE SHOCK DOCTRINE, Naomi Klein explodes the myth that the global free market triumphed democratically. Exposing the thinking, the money trail and the puppet strings behind the world-changing crises and wars of the last four decades, The Shock Doctrine is the gripping story of how America’s “free market” policies have come to dominate the world-- through the exploitation of disaster-shocked people and countries.

At the most chaotic juncture in Iraq’s civil war, a new law is unveiled that would allow Shell and BP to claim the country’s vast oil reserves…. Immediately following September 11, the Bush Administration quietly out-sources the running of the “War on Terror” to Halliburton and Blackwater…. After a tsunami wipes out the coasts of Southeast Asia, the pristine beaches are auctioned off to tourist resorts.... New Orleans’s residents, scattered from Hurricane Katrina, discover that their public housing, hospitals and schools will never be reopened…. These events are examples of “the shock doctrine”: using the public’s disorientation following massive collective shocks – wars, terrorist attacks, or natural disasters -- to achieve control by imposing economic shock therapy. Sometimes, when the first two shocks don’t succeed in wiping out resistance, a third shock is employed: the electrode in the prison cell or the Taser gun on the streets.

Based on breakthrough historical research and four years of on-the-ground reporting in disaster zones, The Shock Doctrine vividly shows how disaster capitalism – the rapid-fire corporate reengineering of societies still reeling from shock – did not begin with September 11, 2001. The book traces its origins back fifty years, to the University of Chicago under Milton Friedman, which produced many of the leading neo-conservative and neo-liberal thinkers whose influence is still profound in Washington today. New, surprising connections are drawn between economic policy, “shock and awe” warfare and covert CIA-funded experiments in electroshock and sensory deprivation in the 1950s, research that helped write the torture manuals used today in Guantanamo Bay.

The Shock Doctrine follows the application of these ideas through our contemporary history, showing in riveting detail how well-known events of the recent past have been deliberate, active theatres for the shock doctrine, among them: Pinochet’s coup in Chile in 1973, the Falklands War in 1982, the Tiananmen Square Massacre in 1989, the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, the Asian Financial crisis in 1997 and Hurricane Mitch in 1998.»

From German Government we can´t hear any assumption of errors ... and we are so near German Federal elections.

terça-feira, 17 de setembro de 2013

PAZ E GUERRA V - PAX ET BELLI V - PEACE AND WAR V


Samantha Power, the American ambassador to the United Nations said (16-09-2013):
«We understand some countries did not accept on faith that the samples of blood and hair that the United States received from people affected by the Aug. 21 attack contained sarin, but now Dr. Sellstrom’s samples show the same thing. And it’s very important to note that the regime possesses sarin, and we have no evidence that the opposition posses sarin.»
Russia’s ambassador, Vitaly I. Churkin, said: «(...) how is it possible to fire projectiles at your opponent and miss them all? We need not jump to any conclusions (...).»

A lot of doubts, but all players have responsabilities now, after the first responsability of the syrian opression system that triggered the violence ... war must stop by political pression not by more war!

«The continuing volatile security situation in Libya in general, and in the eastern and southern parts of the country in particular, is a source of grave concern, (...). Targeted political assassinations, criminal activity and attacks and threats against the diplomatic community continue to plague the country, including Tripoli.» - report to the Security Council from the United Nations mission in Libya. 
Who was supported in Lybia? Who was supported in Syria? A lot of weapons for more violence against persons, for more insecurity, for more tyranny, ignorance and fanaticism. Where are the democrats, where are the persons that respect other persons? The majority of them are victims of new powers. 

http://i.telegraph.co.uk/multimedia/archive/02500/Leptis-theatre_2500376k.jpg
«The theatre at Leptis Magna» (Picture: Jason Hawkes / @jasonhawkesphot / jasonhawkes.com)
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/culture/culturepicturegalleries/9909936/Roman-ruins-in-Libya-aerial-photographs-by-Jason-Hawkes.html?frame=2500368


«United Nations Mission to Investigate Allegations of the Use of Chemical Weapons in the Syrian Arab Republic Report on the Alleged Use of Chemical Weapons in the Ghouta Area of Damascus
on 21 August 2013«(...)

Conclusions 
27. On the basis of the evidence obtained during our investigation of the Ghouta incident, the conclusion is that, on 21 August 2013, chemical weapons have been used in the ongoing conflict between the parties in the Syrian Arab Republic, also against civilians, including children, on a relatively large scale. 
28. In particular, the environmental, chemical and medical samples we have collected provide clear and convincing evidence that surface-to--surface rockets containing the nerve agent Sazrin were used in Ein Tarma, Moadamiyah and Zamalka in the Ghouta area of Damascus. 
29. The facts supporting this conclusion are: 0 Impacted and exploded surface-to-surface rockets, capable to carry a chemical payload, were found to contain Sarin. In Close to the rocket impact sites, in the area where patients were affected, the environment was found to be contaminated by Sarin. I Over fifty interviews given by survivors and health care workers provided ample corroboration of the medical and scientific results. I A number of patients! survivors were clearly diagnosed as intoxicated by an organophosphorous compound. I Blood and urine samples from the same patients were found positive for Sarin and Satin signatures.

30. This result leaves us with the deepest concern.» (http://edition.cnn.com/interactive/2013/08/world/syria-documents/index.html)
Steven Lee Meyers and Rick Gladstone «Russia Denounces U.N. Chemical Report on Syria» September 18, 2013 New York Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2013/09/19/world/middleeast/syria.html?_r=0):
«(...) Russian news reports quoted the country’s deputy foreign minister, Sergei A. Ryabkov, as saying during a visit to Damascus that the Syrian government had provided additional information that showed insurgents used chemical weapons not only on Aug. 21 but also on other occasions.
The Syrians offered no such information to the United Nations chemical weapons inspectors before they left Syria with a trove of forensic samples on Aug. 31. The weapons inspectors have said they will return to Syria to investigate other reported instances of chemical weapons use, but no dates have been announced.
Mr. Ryabkov spoke after meeting with Mr. Assad and his foreign minister, Walid al-Moallem. He did not disclose the precise nature of the additional information the Syrians had conveyed to him, but he was blunt about his criticism of the report presented on Monday at the United Nations.
“We are unhappy about this report,” Mr. Ryabkov said in remarks broadcast by the state television network, RT. “We think that the report was distorted. It was one-sided. The basis of information upon which it is built is insufficient.” He also said Russia needed “to learn and know more on what happened beyond and above that incident of Aug. 21.”
His remarks came a day after Russia’s foreign minister, Sergey V. Lavrov, also questioned the United Nations report, though not as harshly. Mr. Lavrov, who brokered the agreement with Secretary of State John Kerry to put Syria’s chemical weapons under international supervision, said on Tuesday that there were still “serious grounds to believe” that the Aug. 21 attack was a provocation carried out by the rebel side.
Asked about the Russian criticisms, Martin Nesirky, a spokesman for Ban Ki-moon, the United Nations secretary general, said it had been clear to everyone that the chemical weapons inspectors were focusing first on the Aug. 21 attack because of its magnitude and were planning to return to Syria to investigate other suspected assaults involving chemical munitions, with a more comprehensive report to be compiled thereafter. (...)»

"What is worrying are the clashes themselves," a second Turkish official said, referring to rebel infighting generally.
"What we want is to see the various coalition groups put their house in order and focus on the struggle with the regime, because that is the real issue - the violence inflicted by the regime on the Syrian people."
Ankara has been one of the strongest backers of the rebels in the 2-1/2-year uprising against Assad. While it denies arming them, fighters including militant Islamists have been able to cross its border into Syria.

At the same time, many activists and Kurdish forces accuse Turkey of allowing radical groups to go through its territory to launch attacks on its other foe - Kurdish militias, who are now operating on the frontier in northeastern Syria. Turkey denies those charges.» Jonathon Burch and Alexander Dziadosz
September 19 Reuters (http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/09/19/us-syria-crisis-turkey-idUSBRE98I0C120130919)

About the Government of Turkey we remember the opression to turkish citoyens that represented by democratic elections:




The Portuguese poet Manuel Alegre said in him poem «Trova do Vento que Passa» (1967) against Salazar authocracy:

«Mesmo na noite mais triste
Em tempo de servidão
Há sempre alguém que resiste
Há sempre alguém que diz não.»

«Anche nella notte più triste
In tempi di schiavitù
C’è sempre qualcuno che resiste
C’è sempre qualcuno che dice no.»


«Even the saddest night
In time of servitude
There is always someone who resists
There is always someone who says no.»


http://news.bbcimg.co.uk/media/images/70012000/jpg/_70012032_70012030.jpg
«Western powers did not want to intervene in Syria's civil war for more than two years, but the use of chemical weapons brought President Obama "kicking and screaming into doing something", said Christiane Amanpour.

The London-based broadcaster for American networks said was "stunned" by British MPs voting not to take part in military action.
But she added: "Having covered wars, I also know that limited targeted strikes - no boots on the ground - are sometimes really necessary to end terrible, terrible, terrible, inhuman suffering."
In her personal film for BBC1's This Week, she claimed it was the "credible threat of US force" in Syria that forced the Syrians, with Russians, to discuss destroying weapons.» 20 September 2013 BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-24170327)
But we have vicious circles in Syria: the weapons that increased the conflict with a changed Irak by an incredible war, with a suspicious Turkish Government, ... with so many forces that turns dialectic way a complex labyrint ...

«A senior Obama administration official said Friday that the United States was encouraged by the initial inventory that the Syrian government had submitted of its chemical weapons arsenal.  
 “We were pleasantly surprised by the completeness of their declaration,” said the official, who declined to be identified because he was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter. (...)
 The Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons, the watchdog group known as the O.P.C.W. that oversees the international agreement banning poison gas, said on Friday that Syria had provided “an initial declaration” of its chemical weapons program.
The submission met the first deadline for Syrian compliance that was set down by the framework agreement that the United States and Russia concluded in Geneva last weekend.
American, British, Chinese, French and Russian diplomats are debating the terms of a United Nations Security Council resolution that would enforce the agreement. (...)»
“It was better than expected,” he added.» Michael R. Gordon and Nick Cumming-Bruce, 21-09-2013 New York Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2013/09/21/world/middleeast/syria.html?_r=0)