quinta-feira, 5 de setembro de 2013

PAZ E GUERRA - PAX ET BELLI - PEACE AND WAR

Exposição em museu croata mostra reprodução de uma família de Neandertais
Reprodução de Neandertais feitas pela antropóloga Elisabeth Daynes, na França

Homo sapiens neanderthalensis




Homo sapiens sapiens

Human Beings created by the Creator in a long chain of casualities survive in dialectic Nature ...
The success allowed them to compete basicaly and dialectically with themself and will of power overrule in surface of the Earth, with the deep and divine Love trend always to emerge ...

Anytime, anyplace, anywhere conflicts explode and the fire of the war destroy peaceful times, but the water of peace always eliminate that fire along thousands of years ... so many victims manipulated by bad leaders that cause so many victims, inocent persons, women and men, childreen and elders ...

The vicious circles of violence tend to infinite but always Love stop them!

So primitive is our world yet, still so danger for Persons ... We must pay attention to the way that politicians, the managers of power, trying to legitimate war ... History help us to see clear ... a lot of interests of oligarchic groups ... only have sense the legitimate defence like in first and second great wars against the will of power of German and Austrian leaders and them tyranny, ignorance and fanaticism.

Angola, Mozambique, Guinea - Bissau ... incredible and horrible wars for Portuguese leaded by a tyrant, Salazar, between 1928 and 1968 ...

Vietnam, Iraq ... incredible and horrible wars for United States of America leaded by bad republican leaders ...

The decision about wars needs more deep democratic control to limite decisions to real legitimate defence against tyranny, ignorance and fanaticism over the Persons ...

Give weapons to another tyrants to replace tyrants are incredible and the victims are always the innocent Persons of the countries ...

The Life and Liberty of Persons are sacred! If we can defend them Liberty yes, but with a deep respect for all Persons, included the tyrants and them folowers, our enemies:
«(...) Love your enemies, bless them that curse you, do good to them that hate you, and pray for them which despitefully use you, and persecute you.» Jesus Christ according the Gospel by Matthew (5:44)

One day Love will rule the World, when Humans Beings are more deeply linked to them Creator!

When power is linked to Love we have Peace!


Post Scriptum:

Jupiter Temple in Damascus, Syria (photo by Ai@ce - Wikipedia Creative Commons https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/deed.en)

Syria is one more example of the sadness and the disease of the politician leaders, with strong groups influenced them decisions, in a vicious game of put crude oil over fire that will implicate more fire:
http://www.oilspillsolutions.org/Kuwait%20oil%20lake.jpg
http://www.infomine.com/ChartsAndData/GraphEngine.ashx?z=f&gf=110537.EUR.bbl&dr=max
http://www.infomine.com/ChartsAndData/GraphEngine.ashx?z=f&gf=110537.EUR.bbl&dr=max
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2013/09/01/obama-surprises-aides-syria-congress-authorization/2752879/
«Many people have advised against taking this decision to Congress, and undoubtedly, they were impacted by what we saw happen in the United Kingdom this week when the Parliament of our closest ally failed to pass a resolution with a similar goal, even as the prime minister supported taking action (...) Yet, while I believe I have the authority to carry out this military action without specific congressional authorization, I know that the country will be stronger if we take this course, and our actions will be even more effective. 
(...) Here's my question for every member of Congress and every member of the global community: What message will we send if a dictator can gas hundreds of children to death in plain sight and pay no price?
(...) What's the purpose of the international system that we've built if a prohibition on the use of chemical weapons that has been agreed to by the governments of 98% of the world's people and approved overwhelmingly by the Congress of the United States is not enforced?»
Barack Obama, President of United States of America (USA) 30-8-2013
[«Yes, we can» see the limits of the negative culture of punishment, the limits of actual Democracy, we need more instances of control of decisions after elections by Persons, by Nations: after Vietnam and Irak wars what kind of democratic legitimation have a President of USA to take war decisions?] 

http://www.lefigaro.fr/international/2013/09/02/01003-20130902ARTFIG00532-la-mise-en-garde-d-el-assad-a-la-france.php
«Le Figaro. - Pouvez-vous nous démontrer que votre armée n'a pas recouru aux armes chimiques le 21 août dans la banlieue de Damas lors d'attaques qui ont tué plus de 1000 personnes, comme vous en accusent Barack Obama et François Hollande?
Bachar El-Assad. - Quiconque accuse doit donner des preuves. Nous avons défié les États-Unis et la France d'avancer une seule preuve. MM. Obama et Hollande en ont été incapables, y compris devant leurs peuples. (…) Je ne dis nullement que l'armée syrienne possède ou non de telles armes. Supposons que notre armée souhaite utiliser des armes de destruction massive: est-il possible qu'elle le fasse dans une zone où elle se trouve elle-même et où des soldats ont été blessés par ces armes, comme l'ont constaté les inspecteurs des Nations unies en leur rendant visite à l'hôpital où ils sont soignés? Où est la logique?
Quelle sera votre riposte en cas de frappes militaires contre votre pays?
Le Moyen-Orient est un baril de poudre, et le feu s'en approche aujourd'hui. Il ne faut pas seulement parler de la riposte syrienne, mais bien de ce qui pourrait se produire après la première frappe. Or personne ne peut savoir ce qui se passera. Tout le monde perdra le contrôle de la situation lorsque le baril de poudre explosera. Le chaos et l'extrémisme se répandront. Le risque d'une guerre régionale existe.
La France est-elle devenue un pays ennemi de la Syrie?
Quiconque contribue au renforcement financier et militaire des terroristes est l'ennemi du peuple syrien. Quiconque œuvre contre les intérêts de la Syrie et de ses citoyens est un ennemi. Le peuple français n'est pas notre ennemi, mais la politique de son État est hostile au peuple syrien. Dans la mesure où la politique de l'État français est hostile au peuple syrien, cet État sera son ennemi. Cette hostilité prendra fin lorsque l'État français changera de politique. Il y aura des répercussions, négatives bien entendu, sur les intérêts de la France.»

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/syria-crisis-assad-interview-has-increased-my-determination-says-france-president-franois-hollande-8797061.html
«Reading the interview only increased my determination (...) The most serious threat would be to do nothing, to let him continue to use chemical weapons.» François Hollande, President of France [Your determination? Are you a king of other times? What will happen after your decision with so complex situation? The problem is only one part of the conflict? How many parts exist in this conflict? Incredible!] 


http://www.franceinfo.fr/politique/l-info-politique-7h40/marine-le-pen-a-front-renverse-1128573-2013-09-03
«Il n'est pas capable de faire régner la sécurité à Marseille, et il veut envoyer des missiles à Damas» - Marine Le Pen 3-9-2013
«Il n'y a pas de solution militaire au conflit en Syrie (...) seule une solution politique peut arrêter les massacres, les violations de droits de l'homme et la destruction de la Syrie» Herman Van Rompuy, president of European Conseil

«It is regrettable that, from the very beginning of the conflict in Syria, one-sided interests have prevailed and in fact hindered the search for a solution that would have avoided the senseless massacre now unfolding. (...) The leaders of the G20 cannot remain indifferent to the dramatic situation of the beloved Syrian people which has lasted far too long, and even risks bringing greater suffering to a region bitterly tested by strife and needful of peace.
To the leaders present, to each and every one, I make a heartfelt appeal for them to help find ways to overcome the conflicting positions and to lay aside the futile pursuit of a military solution. (...)
Rather, let there be a renewed commitment to seek, with courage and determination, a peaceful solution through dialogue and negotiation of the parties, unanimously supported by the international community. Moreover, all governments have the moral duty to do everything possible to ensure humanitarian assistance to those suffering because of the conflict, both within and beyond the country's borders.»
Pope Francisco, leader of the State of Vatican in a letter sent on September 4, 2013 to Vladimir Putin, President of Russia in his role of host of the G20 conference, that said in this recent days:
«We have our ideas about what we will do and how we will do it in case the situation develops toward the use of force or otherwise. We have our plans.»
«If we see that steps are taken that violate the existing international norms, we shall think how we should act in the future, in particular regarding supplies of such sensitive weapons to certain regions of the world.»

Human beings have potential to transcend the dialectic ways of Nature despite our primitive times ...

http://www.csmonitor.com/var/ezflow_site/storage/images/media/content/2013/0829-oeuropesyria/16847169-1-eng-US/0829-oeuropesyria_full_600.jpg
Britains demonstrators near British Parliament that stop Government intention to punish Syria Goverment: in United Kingdom, with a Parliament with more power than French Parliament, Democracy have a better support. Oppinion pools show in Democratic world that majority of Persons answered no to war. But they give yet them votes to them representatives that don´t hear them voices and opinions. We must reform Representative Democracy with more participative and direct dimensions!
http://database.gmfus.org/reaction/images/SyrianIntervention.jpg

Transatlantic Trends «Polling was conducted between June 3 and June 27, 2013. In Turkey polling was suspended for a week and completed by July 2, 2013», before August intolerable evenements near Damascus.
http://trends.gmfus.org/survey-u-s-european-and-turkish-publics-oppose-intervention-in-syrian-conflict-favor-democracy-over-stability-in-mena-region/#lightbox/0/

About tyrants and atrocities against Humanity exist a lot of them in this primitive world, we never forget the victims of North Korean authocracy, supported by a leader of the stalinistic Partido Comunista Português in Portuguese Parliament (incredible!), like a Christian Woman Ri Hyon-ok «accused of "distributing copies of the Bible" and "espionage activities" for the United States and South Korea» (http://www.asianews.it/news-en/Pyongyang:-Christian-executed-in-public-for-distributing-Bibles-15880.html). 

Recent victims of the tyranny (August, 2013) «allegedly had Bibles in their possession, and all were treated as political dissidents. (...) A source said, "Kim Jong-un has been viciously eliminating anyone who he deems a challenge to his authority." The executions "show that he is fixated on consolidating his leadership."» - The Chosun Ilbo (http://english.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2013/08/29/2013082901412.html)

The answer is not vicious and negative vengeance, the answer is help by diplomatic and pacific ways, with a strong pressure from International Community ... East Timor is an example ...

East Timor faith in a photo by Dalia Agostinho

Humain chain of over 300.000 in Lisbon (September 8, 1999): «A 20 km ring connecting the United Nations delegation and the embassies of Russia, China, UK, France and the US in Lisbon, calling for the end of violence in East Timor.» (Wikipedia)

We never forget the genocidie of the Persons of East Timor by some tyrants of Indonesia after 1975 invasion. East Timor was saved by the faith and resilence of the East Timorese, by the strong solidarity of the Portuguese and also of North Americans and Australians, by Catholic Church of East Timor, by some international personalities:
«I have made clear that my willingness to support future economic assistance from the international community will depend upon how Indonesia handles the situation from today.» Bill Clinton, President of USA in September 11, 1998
In consequence, the President of Indonesia said in the next day: «A couple of minutes ago I called the United Nations Secretary General, Mr Kofi Annan, to inform about our readiness to accept international peacekeeping forces through the United Nations, from friendly nations, to restore peace and security in East Timor.»
An international force for peace was created by these countries in 1999:
Brazil Brazil
United States United States of America
Canada Canada
United Kingdom United Kingdom 
Republic of Ireland Republic of Ireland
Portugal Portugal
Italy Italy
France France
Germany Germany
Norway Norway
Australia Australia
New Zealand New Zealand
South Korea South Korea
Singapore Singapore
Thailand Thailand
Malaysia Malaysia
Philippines Philippines 
Bangladesh Bangladesh
Kenya Kenya 
The United Nations Transitional Administration in East Timor (UNTAET) provided an interim civil administration and a peacekeeping mission in the territory leaded by the great Brazilian humanitarian Sérgio Vieira de Melo Special Representative of the Secretary-General for East Timor later United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights in 2002.
File:Piazzademello.jpgPiazza Sergio Vieira de Mello, Bologna, photo by Gmauri (Wikipedia), Creative Commons, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/deed.en

https://fbcdn-sphotos-h-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-prn2/970246_4759541799029_540124868_n.jpg
«Grupo Cultural Tata Mai Lau, Lisboa 1993, Feira do Livro» http://tata-mai-lau.blogspot.co.uk/

East Timor since 2002 have a real independent way with it Christian and Portuguese roots ... faith, courage linked to peaceful pressures has a great resultant!

quarta-feira, 4 de setembro de 2013

GERMÂNIA V - GERMANIA V - GERMANY V

Debate between Angela Merkel (CDU) and Peer Steinbrück (SPD) in a photo of Reuters

Germans Persons will do democratic options about «forking paths» for Germany and Europe
Die Spiegel show to us some points of view by two works about German elections of September 2013 that make us dream in a failure of CDU/CSU/FDP that support the actual German Government so badly to Europe because don´t influence the necessary State reforms and vulnerabilisate civil societies (brutal taxation over companies and families was the way to don´t solve nothing, only wining time to decrease risk exposures in risked countries): 

«The Undecided: How Merkel Could Lose» September 03, 2013

By Melanie Amann, Peter Müller and Gordon Repinski

«(...) the days and hours just before the election have become an incalculable risk. That's when up to one third of all voters, almost twice as many as in the 2002 election, will decide what party to vote for. In the worst case, it could cost the chancellor the majority she needs to form her preferred coalition with the pro-business Free Democratic Party (FDP).
All German parties have taken note. They will spend more money in the final week of the campaign than in any other week, with the majority of expensive TV spots airing in the final seven days.
The number of undecided voters highlights a fundamental shift in voter behavior in Germany. For decades, voters were as loyal to their political party as to their football club, church or trade union. In the old Germany, the parties knew that they could count on their core supporters, and that all they had to worry about in the final days of a campaign were a few swing voters.
(...)
But now German voters have become emancipated and are as unpredictable as the weather in April. Until just recently, many Germans weren't even aware that a parliamentary election was scheduled for this fall. Now the campaigns are slowly gaining momentum, and yet voters refuse to be pressured. Some won't even decide which box to check until they're on their way to the polling place.
This is particularly aggravating for the chancellor. Although her challenger, Social Democrat Peer Steinbrück, may seem to be down on his luck and trailing far behind at the moment, there is one piece of good news for him: Undecided voters are voters who can still be convinced. Indeed, the SPD is focusing heavily on the final three days with door-to-door campaigning set to continue right through election day. The SPD clearly remembers 2005, when Gerhard Schröder almost managed to defeat Merkel despite what seemed to be a hopeless deficit in the polls immediately prior to the vote.
On the other hand, Merkel's poll numbers are so high that the only possible direction for her would seem to be down.
But it's a delicate situation. For the first time in postwar German history, Bavaria will hold its state elections one week before the national election. Merkel is worried that the FDP might not clear the five-percent hurdle needed to enter the state parliament there. That, in turn, could motivate several conservative voters to cast their ballots for the FDP out of tactical reasons -- to make sure the FDP managed to jump the five-percent hurdle in the national election. Surveys currently indicate that election night will be a nail-biter for the FDP; the party has been hovering around the 5 percent mark for months.
(...)
There is a recent precedent. In January, the FDP looked so weak ahead of the Lower Saxony state election that many CDU voters decided at the last minute to switch their vote. The result was a surprisingly strong 10 percent result for the FDP, a much lower than expected total for the CDU -- and an election loss to a Social Democrats/Green Party coalition.
In Bavaria, the FDP is currently polling at about 4 percent. It will be a debacle for both the FDP and the Christian Social Union -- the Bavarian sister party to Merkel's Christian Democrats -- if the liberals don't improve on that number on election day. "If the FDP loses its seats in the Bavarian state parliament, we can expect an excessive rescue campaign at the national level," say top CDU officials. CDU warhorse Wolfgang Bosbach adds that, in such a scenario, "the FDP's results will be in the double digits."
Merkel's position is made more difficult by Germany's complicated election system, whereby each voter actually has two votes -- a circumstance which could lead many to split their pair of votes between the CDU and the FDP. Merkel is hell-bent on preventing this from happening. Unlike in 2005 and 2009, the CDU TV ad that will air primarily in the last week of the campaign doesn't end with a nebulous message, but with a clear statement: "Both votes for the CDU." In the last days of the campaign, the party's state organizations will place a sticker on CDU posters that reads: "Your second vote is a vote for Merkel."


Will it do any good? Merkel's problem is that she has reversed course on many of the CDU's core issues in recent years. She has eliminated compulsory military service and jettisoned her party's support for nuclear energy, and now the party even favors gender quotas. If content has so little meaning, party loyalty also begins to fade. Why shouldn't a middle-class voter cast a tactical ballot for the FDP?The CDU hopes that poll results will prevent such a scenario. For the first time in postwar German history, a poll will be released on the Thursday before the election. The poll, to be conducted by the ZDF television network, is likely to reflect the effects of the Bavarian election: Should the FDP manage to capture 6 or 7 percent in Bavaria, voters in the national election will be less concerned about the party failing to clear the five percent threshold nationally.
(...)»
«Translated from the German by Christopher Sultan»

http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/steinbrueck-struggles-to-score-against-merkel-in-german-debate-a-919851.html

«Shadow Boxing: Merkel´s Rival Swings and Misses in Debate»

By Charles Hawley September 02, 2013
«(...) 
The 90-minute debate on Sunday evening was the only time the two candidates are to meet for a face-to-face chat ahead of the general election on Sept. 22. Merkel has done her best throughout the campaign to ignore her challenger as best she can, and limiting the number of debates to one was also her way of sending the central message: My challenger is hardly worth talking about.


Steinbrück was clearly eager to change that narrative on Sunday. He was quick to list the numerous things that Merkel had not managed to accomplish in her last eight years in the Chancellery: Improvements to old-age care, establishment of a comprehensive minimum wage, a clear plan to control energy prices and sufficient attention to economic stimulus in Southern Europe.

On almost every single one of those issues, Steinbrück was able to clearly, if a bit wonkily, pinpoint Merkel's shortcomings and gain the rhetorical upper hand. At least temporarily. Repeatedly, however, Merkel was able to wriggle out of the trap that Steinbrück had set, returning to her talking points and placidly listing her government's accomplishments. It is, she said at one point, "relatively sensational" what her center-right coalition has accomplished in the last four years. She followed up with such trenchant observations as "our work is not over yet," "we have demonstrated that we are capable" and "Germany is a motor for growth" and an "anchor of stability."
(...)
And that is the central problem facing Steinbrück as the campaign enters its final weeks. Even as Merkel's wait-and-see leadership style is often infuriating, the economic numbers make Steinbrück's uphill battle even steeper. The job market is strong, growth is returning to both Germany and the euro zone and, for all the current discussion about a third aid package for Greece, the euro crisis has faded temporarily into the background.
The result was a strikingly confident, almost smug, Merkel calmly responding to the attacks from Steinbrück, only occasionally raising her voice so as to be allowed to finish some oft-repeated campaign platitude before being interrupted by one of the debate's four moderators. She was more like a grandmother at a fireside chat -- albeit one wearing a necklace in the colors of Germany's flag -- than a politician battling for re-election. Whereas Steinbrück repeatedly broke out his unbecoming open-mouthed sneer coupled with a clipped, biting tone, Merkel would only give him a condescending smile. If the SPD candidate was trying to demonstrate why he lags so far behind the chancellor in personal popularity ratings, he was successful.

Even in the discussion over the possible third aid package for Greece, an issue on which Steinbrück has been consistently blasting the chancellor for not being honest with the German electorate, the SPD candidate was unable to score many points. To be sure, he repeated his charge that Merkel's crisis policies were doing more to harm Southern Europe than help it -- and accused her of not coming clean about how much saving Greece will ultimately cost. But when he himself was asked what the price tag might ultimately be, he -- perhaps unwisely -- answered honestly, professing that it was impossible to know.
There was, however, one moment in the debate when Merkel was completely out of sorts. Towards the end of what was largely a tedious hour-and-a-half, one of the moderators drilled Merkel about the vast data surveillance undertaken in Germany and around the world by the US intelligence agency NSA. If, Merkel was asked, a German sent an email from one German city to another German city, but it was routed across a server in the US and landed in the American surveillance net there, was that a violation of German law?
(...)
Merkel is not one who fidgets often. But she fidgeted while formulating the only answer possible. No, that would not represent a violation of German law, she said, attempting to wrap the answer in sufficient rhetoric about the intricacies of data privacy and Internet law. Steinbrück, in response, accused Merkel's government of not doing enough to defend Germans' constitutional rights and called Edward Snowden, the man responsible for the revelations of NSA surveilance, "courageous."
That, though, was just one moment. And, unfortunately for Steinbrück, it was a moderator who had struck the decisive blow, rather than he himself.
Still, as the SPD candidate repeatedly said toward the end of the evening, a few weeks remain in the campaign and his passable performance in the debate could ultimately help him close the wide gap separating him and Merkel. Most surveys taken immediately after the show ended indicated that viewers felt that Steinbrück had won. One flash poll taken after the debate Sunday night also showed that he had massively reduced the "likeability" gap between himself and Merkel by 17 percentage points and now trails her by just 3 points at 45 percent.
Such ephemera, however, is often just that. And pinning down Merkel will only become more difficult as the campaign reaches its end. The chancellor, after all, can now go back to largely ignoring her challenger, a strategy which has proven wildly successful thus far.»

Greek protests ...

We can see the capital flight from countries like Portugal, Spain, Italy, Greece by German banks exposure in this work for Financial Times: «Last updated: March 26, 2013 8:20 pm»

«Bank exposure: The eurozone risk»

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/9686c004-fca4-11df-bfdd-00144feab49a.html#axzz2dxJ7oR2l
In the last months of first half of 2013 English and German investors flying from Portuguese public debt (IGCP - «Portugal: Moving Ahead» September 2013 http://www.igcp.pt/fotos/editor2/2013/Apresentaaao_Investidores/IGCP_September_2013.pdf)





COMÉRCIO A RETALHO - SCRUTA COMMERCIA - RETAIL TRADE


120706100631953667_shopping_retail_trade_bizmoney.jpg
Retail trade - Food

Retail trade - No food

Can we see in Portugal signals of economic growing that Government see and use to justify it terrible economic policy? We don´t.

In the first 7 months of 2013 compared with 2012, Retail trade still in negative rate change (-3,4%) as resultant of the positive rate change of food segment (0,8%) and the negative rate change of no food segment (-8,2%).
In fact only food segment have a positive trend along the current year in a crisis environment, with a strong taxation over families. 




But can we see in Europe growing signals? No we can´t. Retail sale in Germany have a homologous negative rate change (-0,8%) in July, 2013 compared with July, 2012 (in June -0,1%); France (-0,9% after -0,8%), Spain (-5,6% after -6,8%), Portugal (-2,2% / -2,6%), Finland (-1,3% / 0,2%), Denmark (-1,6% / 0,5%). Euro area has -1,3% in July after -1,1% in June. Eurostat don´t have yet the data of Greece, Italy and Netherlans, with negative rate change in June. Be careful with manipulation of statistics! Where is the growing?