quarta-feira, 3 de julho de 2013

COLÔMBIA VI - COLUMBIA VI - COLOMBIA VI

Gráfico dos países mais populares entre os visitantes do blogueCOLOMBIA - PORTUGAL

«En Colombia hemos abierto 14 tiendas y las ventas son superiores a las estimaciones que teníamos en el momento de la apertura. El gasto medio por cliente también es más alto de lo esperado y, hasta ahora, son todas buenas noticias (...) solo en uno o dos años sera possible dizer que es un éxito.» (Alexandre Soares dos Santos - Grupo Jerónimo Martins 16-5-2013)

La meta es inaugurar 40 tiendas este año.
«Na Colômbia já temos 14 lojas abertas e as vendas são superiores às estimativas que tínhamos no momento da abertura. A despesa média por cliente também é maior do que esperávamos e, até agora, são tudo boas notícias (...) só daqui a um ou dois anos será possível dizer que é um sucesso». (Alexandre Soares dos Santos - Grupo Jerónimo Martins 16-5-2013)






terça-feira, 2 de julho de 2013

UM PRESIDENTE E UMA MINORIA - A PRAESIDE ET A MINORITATE - A PRESIDENT AND A MINORITY

http://expresso.sapo.pt/imv/1/903/2/img1760-9507.jpg
PALHA DE AÇO

Agarrado ao poder como uma lapa
Com palha de aço Portugal desgasta
Com meios acima das possibilidades sai da Lapa
Mantém um Estado que tanto gasta



(DES)GOVERNO

Paulo bateu com as Portas
E deixou o Coelho nas hortas
A dar os seus Passos autistas
Nos seus caminhos seguidistas

Depois de várias vezes humilhado
Decidiu colocar tudo no passado?
Foi possível finalmente?
Libertar-se a sua mente, mente?

Quem pensava que o tinha na mão
Teve uma grande desilusão
O agarrado frágilmente ao poder
Dá quase tudo para o manter

Fala de que agora é que seria
A prosperidade já não esperaria
Os sacrifícios impostos iriam valer a pena
A pesadíssima pena com risos de hiena

Que grande caricatura
De uma democrática dita dura
Entre eleições faria o que queria
Afastado já do que antes prometia

Fala em interesse nacional
O que atirou para cima de Portugal
Governou e governa muito mal
A sua ignorância é brutal

Arrogante avança
Surpreendido recua
Desfasado da realidade
Não vai deixar saudade

E os oportunistas que o apoiaram?
O FMI adoraram
O Governo Alemão idolatraram
Tanta mentira espalharam!

Portuguesas e Portugueses
Nunca mais passem um cheque em branco
Por muito que vos pareça franco
Não deleguem assim os nacionais interesses!



Comunicação pública da demissão do Governo de Paulo Portas (líder do partido coligado):
«1. Apresentei hoje de manhã a minha demissão do Governo ao primeiro-ministro.
2. Com a apresentação do pedido de demissão, que é irrevogável, obedeço à minha consciência e mais não posso fazer.
3. São conhecidas as diferenças políticas que tive com o ministro das Finanças. A sua decisão pessoal de sair permitia abrir um ciclo político e económico diferente. A escolha feita pelo primeiro-ministro teria, por isso, de ser especialmente cuidadosa e consensual.
4. O primeiro-ministro entendeu seguir o caminho da mera continuidade no Ministério das Finanças. Respeito mas discordo.
5. Expressei, atempadamente, este ponto de vista ao primeiro-ministro, que, ainda assim, confirmou a sua escolha. Em consequência, e tendo em atenção a importância decisiva do Ministério das Finanças, ficar no Governo seria um acto de dissimulação. Não é politicamente sustentável, nem é pessoalmente exigível.
6. Ao longo destes dois anos protegi até ao limite das minhas forças o valor da estabilidade. Porém, a forma como, reiteradamente, as decisões são tomadas no Governo torna, efectivamente, dispensável o meu contributo.

7. Agradeço a todos os meus colaboradores no Ministério dos Negócios Estrangeiros a sua ajuda inestimável que não esquecerei. Agradeço aos meus colegas de Governo, sem distinção partidária, toda a amizade e cooperação.»

Passos Coelho (primeiro-ministro) reagiu assim à acção de Paulo Portas em 2-7-2013:

«O País foi surpreendido pelo pedido de demissão do sr. dr. Paulo Portas, Ministro de Estado e dos Negócios Estrangeiros e Presidente do CDS-PP.

Eu próprio tenho de manifestar a minha surpresa. Quando ontem propus ao sr. Presidente da República a dra. Maria Luís Albuquerque para Ministra das Finanças, e os seus Secretários de Estado, que incluem um membro do CDS e que tinha sido confirmado pelo dr. Paulo Portas, os acontecimentos de hoje eram evidentemente impensáveis.

É agora claro para todos os Portugueses que a ameaça da instabilidade política, nas atuais circunstâncias, comporta riscos para o País que ninguém pode desejar e que teria consequências muito pesadas.

Seriam dois anos de um grande esforço de todos, de sacrifícios que todas as famílias conhecem, que seriam deitados por terra.

Seria recusar incompreensivelmente os primeiros sinais de viragem que estão finalmente a chegar de forma ainda tímida mas consistente.

Por tudo isto, e pelo facto de o sr. Ministro de Estado e dos Negócios Estrangeiros ser Presidente de um partido que suporta o Governo, seria precipitado aceitar esse pedido de demissão. Não pedi, portanto, ao sr. Presidente da República a exoneração do sr. Ministro de Estado e dos Negócios Estrangeiros.

Numa democracia madura, um Governo de coligação que goza do apoio de uma forte maioria dos representantes do povo não pode ser posto em causa a não ser por divergências de enorme gravidade.

Desde o início que sempre tentei transmitir a todos os Portugueses e a todos os agentes políticos a necessidade imperiosa de colocarmos a prudência, a cabeça fria e o sentido de Estado acima de tudo o resto. Quando começámos este caminho a situação era muito difícil, e as dificuldades ainda não terminaram. Talvez agora todos estejam mais conscientes das exigências que circunstâncias tão delicadas como as nossas impunham. Mas são precisamente esses momentos definidores que mais apelam à serenidade.

Da minha parte poderão contar sempre com essa serenidade. Lucidez nos momentos de crise não é insensibilidade, mas um dever político comum a todos. Comigo o País não escolherá um colapso político, económico e social. Há muito trabalho pela frente e temos de colher os frutos do que semeámos com tanto esforço. O País está primeiro. Esta é uma questão de consciência e de convicção. Os tempos não exigem menos do que isto. E aqui o Primeiro-Ministro representa a esperança de todos os Portugueses de fechar o Programa de Ajustamento e construirmos uma sociedade mais próspera e mais justa.

Quero também dizer-vos que precisamos de clareza. Isso significa que assumo como minha a missão de esclarecer todas as condições de apoio político junto dos partidos que suportam o Governo. Não depende apenas da minha vontade resolver definitivamente este problema. Mas ambos os partidos têm a obrigação de não desiludir o País. Em conjunto, teremos de esclarecer o sentido do pedido de demissão do Ministro de Estado e dos Negócios Estrangeiros no contexto mais amplo possível: no contexto do nosso projeto comum e no contexto dos perigos que conseguimos evitar.

Essa clareza é também fundamental para manter a credibilidade e confiança internacionais que já conquistámos. Por essa razão irei manter a minha participação amanhã num encontro em Berlim que conta com os chefes de Estado e de Governo da União Europeia e onde continuarei a lutar pelos interesses de Portugal.

Nas próximas horas procurarei junto do CDS clarificar e garantir todas as condições de estabilidade para o Governo e para o País para prosseguirmos a estratégia de superação da crise nacional, agarrarmos um novo ciclo de prosperidade que os Portugueses merecem, e darmos sentido ao grande esforço e sacrifícios de todos. É minha convicção que, sejam quais forem as divergências que estão na base da atual crise, saberemos ultrapassá-las em nome do interesse de Portugal. Estamos cientes de que um Governo de coligação é um compromisso permanente.

É dessa clareza que falo e é essa clareza que espero.

Assumo essa missão com a mesma determinação que desde a primeira hora confrontei todas as adversidades.

Nesse sentido, também eu serei claro. Não me demito. Não abandono o meu País. Abraço, como sempre abracei, o serviço ao meu País com a mesma dedicação e com a mesma esperança. Vivemos num tempo em que não nos podemos assustar diante das adversidades. Como poderia eu assustar-me quando à minha volta vejo exemplos de coragem de tantas centenas de milhares de Portugueses?

Quando atravessamos os problemas colectivos que ainda temos para resolver, o Primeiro-Ministro tem de ser o baluarte da confiança e da tranquilidade. Tem de ser o referencial da persistência e do empenho democrático no único rumo que nos pode fazer sair de uma crise que se arrasta há mais de 10 anos.

O Primeiro-Ministro tem de assegurar a responsabilidade e a energia necessárias para lutar contra todas as adversidades. Tem de representar a vontade colectiva que não se verga nem desiste.

Para tudo isso os Portugueses podem contar comigo.

Nem poderia ser de outro modo quando os Portugueses deram e continuam a dar provas de responsabilidade, de energia e de vontade de lutar.

Nós, políticos e governantes, temos de responder à altura. Porque, afinal de contas, o que está em causa não são as incertezas ou os anseios dos políticos, quer estejam no Governo, quer estejam na oposição, mas o interesse e o bem da nossa comunidade política. Todos desejamos um rápido regresso à estabilidade e à confiança.

Farei tudo, absolutamente tudo, para que assim seja.»

Autista! Esperemos que o CDS finalmente, após tantas ambiguidades, defenda realmente o interesse nacional e contribua para libertar Portugal deste (des)governo, e que contribua para uma futura solução alternativa, que passe por eleições urgentes, com compromissos eleitorais bem claros e que responsabilizem realmente os representantes perante os representados!

Mas não parece ... no dia a seguir (3-7-2013), a trágico-comédia da autoria da coligação e representada pela própria, teve este novo acto:

«A Comissão Executiva do CDS reuniu-se para analisar a situação política, e ouviu do Presidente do
Partido as razões de consciência e a fundamentação política que o levaram, na sequência da
remodelação do Governo, a apresentar a sua demissão de Ministro de Estado e dos Negócios
Estrangeiros.
Tendo em atenção a decisão tomada e a sua natureza irrevogável;
Considerando a prioridade que o CDS sempre atribuiu ao cumprimento das obrigações externas de
Portugal, condição essencial para recuperar a liberdade e a soberania do Estado Português;
Tendo consciência da grave situação económica e social que o País e os portugueses atravessam;
Assinalando o papel decisivo que o CDS tem tido na criação de condições para assegurar a
governabilidade de Portugal, nalgumas circunstâncias em prejuízo das suas próprias convicções;
Registando a disponibilidade do Primeiro-Ministro e líder do PSD, apresentada ontem, para garantir
todas as condições de estabilidade governativa, no sentido de assegurar um novo ciclo económico e
social;
A Comissão Executiva do CDS chegou às seguintes conclusões:
Primeiro: Mandatar o Presidente do Partido no sentido de, com a máxima brevidade, reunir com o
líder do PSD para, em conjunto, definirem as circunstâncias que garantam uma solução viável para
a governação de Portugal;
Segundo: Considerar que é essencial, no âmbito desse esforço, garantir a utilidade efectiva do
contributo do CDS no quadro da definição das políticas da maioria.
Terceiro: Não obstante a ministra Assunção Cristas e o ministro Pedro Mota Soares terem colocado
os seus cargos à disposição do Partido, foi considerado importante que permaneçam no exercício
das suas funções, tendo em vista não dificultar a superação da presente crise.
Quarto: Por fim, a Comissão Executiva quer dar uma palavra de confiança aos militantes do CDS,
cujos representantes se reúnem este fim de semana na Póvoa de Varzim no seu 25º Congresso.»

Portanto, vão negociar sempre em nome do interesse nacional ... MAS NA VERDADE DEFENDER O INTERESSE NACIONAL TERIA SIDO NÃO PERMITIR:

- QUE AINDA NÃO SE TENHA INICIADO AINDA UMA PROFUNDA REFORMA DO ESTADO;
- QUE NÃO SE TIVESSE REALIZADO UMA BRUTAL E ABUSIVA TRIBUTAÇÃO DESDE 2011;
- QUE A CRIAÇÃO DE VALOR ESTEJA A SER FORTEMENTE PREJUDICADA PELAS OPÇÕES FACILITISTAS DO GOVERNO:
- OS ABUSOS DE POSIÇÃO DOMINANTE CONTINUAM DE UMA FORMA INTOLERÁVEL;
- PORTUGAL CONTINUA DOMINADO POR JOGOS DE SOMA NEGATIVA OU NULA.

OBVIAMENTE QUE A TROIKA TERIA ACEITADO UMA PROFUNDA REFORMA DO ESTADO DESDE O INÍCIO, QUE AS TENTATIVAS DE APRENDIZAGEM DE VÍTOR GASPAR COMPROMETERAM SERIAMENTE OS GRAUS DE LIBERDADE DO GOVERNO E DE PORTUGAL, CUJOS ERROS FRAGILIZARAM A POSIÇÃO DE PORTUGAL, COM CÍRCULOS VICIOSOS A SEREM EMPOLADOS DE UMA FORMA LEVIANA E IRRESPONSÁVEL.

O líder do CDS sairá do Governo, o CDS apoiará um novo Governo com ou sem elementos do CDS, desde que o ggelatinoso Passos Coelho recue de novo, como prometeu, para mais tarde de novo, avançar outra vez até uma nova crise ... A INSTABILIDADE É O GOVERNO E A SUA LEVIANDADE, IMPREPARAÇÃO, INCOMPETÊNCIA, FALTA DE ÉTICA, FALTA DE CLASSE, FALTA DE NÍVEL, FALTA DE RESPEITO EM RELAÇÃO ÀS PESSOAS QUE NELES ACREDITARAM E VOTARAM, FALTA DE RESPEITO POR NÓS QUE NUNCA GOSTÁMOS DO SEU ASSALTO AO PODER À CUSTA DA NAÇÃO, COM A ENTREGA DO PAÍS AO FMI E AO GOVERNO ALEMÃO, PARA ENTRAR MUITO DINHEIRO QUE DISFARÇASSE AS LEVIANDADES COMETIDAS:
- NA BANCA (BPN, ...);
- NA MADEIRA;
- NAS AUTARQUIAS;
- NO ESTADO EM GERAL QUE GASTOU DEMAIS EM BETÃO, ALCATRÃO, FÁRMACOS, AUTOMÓVEIS, ET CETERA.

OS ERROS COMETIDOS PELAS EMPRESAS E PELAS FAMÍLIAS ESTÃO A SER PAGOS PELOS PRÓPRIOS COM A DESAJUDA DO ESTADO QUE AS AINDA CARREGOU COM MAIS FARDOS MUITO PESADOS.  

Do palco vai-se voltar aos bastidores ...

E dos bastidores se volta ao palco por via do mau da peça, Passos Coelho:

«Com o sr. dr. Paulo Portas, presidente do CDS/PP, foi possível esclarecer a questão política da demissão do sr. Ministro de Estado e dos Negócios Estrangeiros. Trata-se de uma decisão que foi tomada a título pessoal e que não envolve o apoio do CDS/PP ao Governo.
Nessa medida, foi-me transmitido pelo sr. dr. Paulo Portas que o CDS/PP, num quadro que deverá ser evidentemente agora aprofundado, junto do dr. Paulo Portas e do próprio partido, será encontrada uma forma de poder garantir o apoio político do CDS/PP ao Governo. E nessa medida de garantir a estabilidade política no país.
Nesse sentido me comprometi a, junto do sr. dr. Paulo Portas, que é Presidente do CDS/PP, encontrar a melhor fórmula de garantir, tão rapidamente quanto possível, perante o país, a solução para esta situação.
Da minha parte, portanto, devo dizer ao país que como primeiro-ministro tudo farei, como já reafirmei, para garantir as condições que são necessárias para que o Governo prossiga o seu trabalho em condições, como é obrigatório, penso eu, e patriótico. Isso significa, portanto, que me cabe como chefe de Governo procurar agora, junto dos dois partidos, um reforço desse apoio político ao Governo que permitirá que ele desempenhe esta tarefa.
Como é sabido, existe também da parte do sr. Presidente da República uma avaliação desta situação que competirá, evidentemente, ao sr. Presidente da República pronunciar.»

EM NOME DA ESTABILIDADE POLÍTICA TEM-SE DESESTABILIZADO PORTUGAL EM TERMOS SÓCIO-ECONÓMICOS E POLÍTICOS
EM NOME DO INTERESSE NACIONAL TÊM-SE DESVALORIZADO E FRAGILIZADO A NAÇÃO

MINISTRO(A) DAS FINANÇAS - FISCUS MINISTER - FINANCE MINISTER


O ex-ministro e a actual ministra das Finanças

Em 1-7-2013 o ministro das Finanças apresentou a sua carta de demissão:




Ao longo de cerca de mais de um ano deixámos aqui as nossas profundas críticas ao Governo, à Troika e a este ministro que finalmente se demitiu: todas estas pessoas não tinham capacidade para assumir funções governativas, optaram por péssimos caminhos para Portugal, subservientes em relação ao Governo Alemão. Muito já destruíram, muitas insolvências e desemprego poderiam ter sido evitados ainda por cima sem se ter iniciado sequer uma prioritária reforma do Estado, constantemente adiada.

As swaps de empresas públicas de transportes que tanto dinheiro desperdiçaram e desperdiçam, põe em causa antigos decisores nomeados por anteriores governos, mas revela mais uma vez, uma grande incapacidade deste governo, que por via do Ministério das Finanças declarou em 30-6-2013:

- «A questão foi abordada na reunião de transição entre o ex-ministro Teixeira dos Santos e o actual ministro, Vítor Gaspar (e depois no encontro que teve a presença dos secretários de Estado do anterior executivo). A reunião decorreu num espírito de colaboração e cordialidade (...).
A questão dos contratos de derivados foi suscitada por iniciativa do actual ministro das Finanças. A motivação era, por um lado, a preocupação com a grandeza das responsabilidades contingentes, com efeito sobre o Orçamento do Estado e, por outro, o conhecimento público da existência destas operações (em particular no Metro do Porto) (...)
nas pastas de transição do ministro das Finanças e da secretária de Estado do Tesouro e Finanças não constava um tópico dedicado aos contratos de derivados financeiros nas empresas públicas.
(...) a informação disponível aquando da tomada de posse do actual Executivo dava alguma indicação quanto à dimensão dos riscos orçamentais, mas nada acrescentava sobre as características dos contratos e, sobretudo, não apontava para nenhuma solução.
Limitava-se (tendo em conta o despacho do anterior Secretário de Estado do Tesouro e Finanças de 9/6/2011) a dizer que as empresas deveriam fazer passar quaisquer propostas pelo crivo prévio da DGTF, Inspecção Geral das Finanças e Instituto de Gestão do Crédito Público. Propostas essas que nenhuma empresa apresentou (...).
De recordar igualmente que a prestação desta informação, bem como o controlo destas práticas, estava prevista no Memorando de Entendimento assinado com a troika (...) o Governo começou imediatamente a trabalhar numa resolução para os problemas dos contratos de derivados nas empresas públicas».

O ex-ministro das Finanças Teixeira dos Santos tinha referido:
«(...) não era informação casuística (...) Foi feito um apuramento do Sector Empresarial do Estado, empresa a empresa. E há um relatório de Julho de 2011, produzido pela Direcção-Geral do Tesouro e Finanças (DGTF), que reflecte que esse apuramento foi feito, seguindo as instruções que o Governo que entretanto cessou funções tinha dado à administração
(...) estranho (...) dois anos para fazer alguma coisa.»

Maria Luís Albuquerque:
«Quando este Governo entrou em funções, o problema relativo aos swaps contratados por empresas públicas já existia, tendo mesmo motivado a emissão de dois despachos do anterior secretário de Estado do Tesouro, em 30 de Janeiro de 2009 e 09 de Junho de 2011. Apesar disso, na transição de pastas, nada foi referido a respeito desta matéria» (audição parlamentar)
«Na pasta de transição entre mim e o anterior secretário de Estado do Tesouro, Carlos Costa Pina, não constava nada sobre as swaps. Mantenho o que disse na audição parlamentar.
[O conhecimento actual sobre os contratos swap é] trabalho deste Governo (...) [apenas foram referidos] montantes (...)»

NÃO EXPLICA OS DOIS ANOS! A RESPONSABILIDADE É DE TODOS OS INTERVENIENTES, MAIS UMA CLARA INCOMPETÊNCIA DO MINISTÉRIO DAS FINANÇAS E DOS SEUS RESPONSÁVEIS AO LONGO DOS ÚLTIMOS ANOS, TEIXEIRA DOS SANTOS E AS SUAS EQUIPES, VÍTOR GASPAR E AS SUAS EQUIPES, INCLUINDO A SUA SUCESSORA, A ACTUAL MINISTRA DAS FINANÇAS, SUA SECRETÁRIA DE ESTADO DO TESOURO.

VÁRIOS ERROS COMETIDOS FORAM ASSUMIDOS POR VÍTOR GASPAR. E PELA ACTUAL MINISTRA DAS FINANÇAS?

SWAPS: SHAME from WEAK ADMINISTRATION in POLITICAL SOCIETY

International Banks sold - pressure badly swaps to Portugal (to Italy also) public sectors to turn more interesting the financial pack with loans.

One more failure of the Government: spend two years to react for something that was communicated by the Finance Minister of the last majority to the last Minister that tooday exit the Portuguese Government.

In contrast Wolfang Schäuble naturally said about him subservients followers:

«Lamento a decisão do meu colega e amigo Vítor Gaspar. Ele e a sua equipa foram decisivos para recolocar Portugal o caminho certo da recuperação económica. Eles garantiram que os investidores recuperassem a confiança em Portugal. Vou sentir falta de um parceiro de confiança e um bravo lutador pela causa do seu país.
É no entanto bom ver que um dos seus mais próximos aliados irá suceder-lhe. Maria Luís Albuquerque tem sido um agente chave para Portugal e na implementação do programa português e assim na reconstrução da economia portuguesa. É reconfortante saber que Portugal vai manter o caminho e que Maria Luís Albuquerque irá continuar o bom trabalho feito até agora. Congratulo-a, desejo-lhe o melhor.»

domingo, 30 de junho de 2013

POSIÇÃO VERSUS OPOSIÇÃO - POSITIO VERSUS OPPOSITIONEM - POSITION VERSUS OPPOSITION

Works by the great Maurits Cornelis Escher:

«Two birds» (1938)
thesis: right (direita)
antithesis: left (esquerda)
sinthesis: each one for him side (cada um por seu lado)

«Swans» (1956)
thesis: face (verso)
antithesis: reverse (reverso)
sinthesis: face and reverse infinite finite (verso e reverso infinito finito)

The dialectic position versus oposition (poziția față de opoziție in Romanian language) have many cultural and strategic political ways ...

In Portugal right now, we have a singular situation: after a long way (two years) with guidelines with a lot of errors, with a great subservience, the position lost the majority of the majority of the votes in 2011 and finnaly accept fair proposals from the only democratic opposition, the Partido Socialista of the Progressive Aliance, 8 in a total 10:
- Change public debt to non financial companies in public debt to financial companies to inflow cash in real economy;
- Renewal of credit insurance lines for exports to OECD markets;
- Legal implementation of the crowdfundig for companies;
- Fiscal equality between interests linked to equity and liabilities (financial debt), at the moment favored, one of the factors for a big level of leverage in companies;
- Fiscal discrimination between reinvested earnings and dividends for shareholders;
- Reimbursement of TVA by state to companies by more easy guarantees;
- Equality between the interest rate that state pay and that companies and families pay to state (higher);
- Current account between state and companies for credits balance with debts.
Are not accepted by position:
- Annulation of the TVA rate increase from 13% to 23%, for food and beverage services (39.000 companies, 75000 employments losted follow sector association);
- End of the veto by the State of lawsuits on protection of creditors.

We hope that we can have more fair and logical proposals approved in the the immediate future. CONGRATULATIONS TO DEMOCRATIC OPPOSITION AND FOR IT LEADER! This is a clear demonstration that Goverment and Troika are to much distant of Value Creation needs.

Elections for local government come soon, and government turns more flexible but don´t have ideas, despite the lot of money that spend with bad advises. WHAT A SHAME!

Despite that prime minister of Portugal still with him K7 (like the stalinists of Comunist Party):
«Se me pergunta se o Orçamento do Estado para 2014 prevê uma baixa dos impostos muito me surpreenderia se isso acontecesse».
«Não me comprometo com esta antecedência com resultados que não sei se podemos concretizar»
«Estamos a trabalhar para conseguir o equilíbrio orçamental e estamos a trabalhar para que a despesa pública se adapte às possibilidades dos contribuintes e não o contrário. Isso não é possível obter rapidamente, num curto espaço de tempo»
«Não sairemos da crise amanhã».

With the political options of the Government and Troika, public debt and deficit, insolvencies and unemployment increased with brutal taxes!

But, incredible, TSF radio (http://www.tsf.pt/PaginaInicial/Economia/Interior.aspx?content_id=3295752&page=-1) said about an unsucessful influence of Ministério das Finanças (leaded by the quadratic and subservient Minister of Finances, Vítor Gaspar) over parlamentary majority to not approve all proposals of Partido Socialista:

«São 13 páginas aparentemente ignoradas pelos deputados da maioria.
O documento elaborado pelo Ministério das Finanças, a que a TSF teve acesso, foi enviado para as bancadas do PSD e do CDS na quinta-feira, no próprio dia do debate potestativo marcado pelo PS, e avança com argumentos contra as 10 medidas socialistas para estimular a economia e o emprego.
Nesta nota técnica das finanças, uma a uma, as medidas do PS merecem uma de duas classificações - «inúteis» ou «redundantes».
Entre as seis medidas que acabaram aprovadas na quinta-feira, umas com os votos favoráveis da maioria, outras com a abstenção de PSD e CDS, a mais emblemática é o pagamento das dívidas do Estado a fornecedores, com recurso a crédito da CGD.
Ora, em relação a essa medida do PS, o ministério de Vítor Gaspar afirma que não resolve o problema de longo prazo, transfere a responsabilidade para a banca, e viola um dos princípios básicos da lei dos compromissos, o de que nenhum serviço do Estado pode assumir compromissos financeiros para os quais não tem fundos disponíveis. Mais, as finanças afirmam que esta medida acrescenta custos, não quantificados, à despesa do Estado.
No documento a que a TSF teve acesso, há extensos argumentos jurídicos, fiscais, e administrativos, contra cada uma das 10 propostas do Partido Socialista.
Deputados das direções das duas bancadas da maioria, contactados esta manhã pela TSF, garantem que a aprovação das medidas do PS foi acertada com as Finanças num gesto que se queria de aproximação aos socialistas e que foi promovido sobretudo pelo CDS.
De qualquer forma, este poderá ser apenas um gesto simbólico com prazo de validade muito curto.
Ao que garantem as fontes contactadas pela TSF, as propostas do PS só vão regressar ao plenário, para votação final global, se forem moldadas às exigências da maioria durante o debate na especialidade na Comissão de Orçamento e Finanças.

Na opinião de Pedro Adão e Silva, comentador do Bloco Central TSF, este caso é sintomático, e só pode significar que o ministro Vítor Gaspar está a prazo no Governo.»

Vítor Gaspar is a «marionette» of the Finance Minister of German Government that have recently, this kind of position: austerity must still in european countries in dificulties, be careful with incentives to investment and consumption, internal demand! To create, for example, not necessary imports of cars and submarines from Germany yes, but to create value for the world and for Portugal by exports and by imports substitution yes!

Is not a surprise what Der Spiegel said about Germany (http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/diw-weak-infrastructure-investment-threatens-german-future-a-907885.html):
«(...) For quite some time now, Germans have suspected there is little reason for complacency. Anyone who travels through the country will notice roads full of potholes, disused railway tracks and dilapidated schools. And anyone who works for one of the country's large industrial companies also knows that most new production plants are built abroad, not in Germany.
Now, economists have translated Germany's deficiencies into hard numbers. The German Institute of Economic Research (DIW) is presenting a study this week that proves Germany is not Europe's economic hegemon, as British weekly The Economist recently suggested on its cover. Instead, the DIW paints the picture of an ailing economy that has been seriously out of balance for years.
Germans save more money than most living in the industrialized world, but they invest very little in their future, making them much weaker economically than leading politicians realize. According to the study, Germany is saving itself to death.
Chronic Lack of Investment
The diagnosis is alarming. Although Germany has weathered the financial and economic crisis better than all other large industrialized nations and created over a million new jobs, this comes largely thanks to years of wage restraint by the country's trade unions.
To make matters worse, the productivity of these jobs -- a decisive aspect of long-term growth and prosperity -- has contributed just as little to the current upswing as consumer demand, which has been an important growth driver in other countries.
The Berlin institute points to a chronic lack of investments as the main cause for this low productivity. Both the state and the private sector spend too little money on inffrastructure, education, plants and machinery.
"Despite all the successes of the past few years, Germany has not created an investment basis to ensure robust growth," the researchers conclude.
In other words, Germany is living off its reserves. Bridges are crumbling, factories and universities are deteriorating, and not enough is being spent to maintain phone networks. This has resulted in a massive impoverishment of the country, according to DIW calculations.
Nearly 15 years ago, the state's net assets still corresponded to 20 percent of gross domestic product (GDP). When adjusted for inflation, this amounts to nearly €500 billion ($650 billion). By 2011, this had dwindled to 0.5 percent of GDP, or a mere €13 billion, primarily due to systematic neglect.
All of Germany's political parties have pledged to spend more money on highways, transportation and education during the upcoming legislative period -- but they have often made such promises in the past. In the end, however, the already meager budgets for investment were slashed and the money was distributed to preferential groups of voters. It could be a similar story this time around.
Good at Saving, Bad at Investing
The investment gaps keep getting bigger, too. The investment rate, or the proportion of the domestic product used for investment, has been declining for years. In 1999, it was still at 20 percent, but today it's down to just 17 percent. Year after year, tens of billions of euros have been missing for the sorely needed maintenance of highways, railways and machinery.
Since 1999, this has grown to become a colossal renewal backlog amounting to a trillion euros, according to the researchers' calculations. There's a simple adage in economics: Today's investments are tomorrow's growth. Accordingly, yesterday's investment gap is today's loss in prosperity.
The DIW researchers have calculated the impact of this shortfall over the years. If the Germans had invested as much as the average euro-zone country over the past 15 years, annual per capita growth would have been one percentage point higher -- and the Germans would be much more affluent today.
That's not to say that the Germans are poor, though. The country's savers put aside more money than practically any other industrialized nation. This is actually a good sign because savings form the basis for investments in an economy -- at least in a normal situation.
But for some time, nothing has been normal in Germany in this respect. Not only have the Germans placed a large proportion of their nest egg abroad, but the money invested there has not produced "the expected returns," as the DIW report says. "Since 1999, German investors have lost some €400 billion through bad investments abroad."
German industrial giants have been the main victims of this botched investment strategy. Telecommunications giant Deutsche Telekom, for example, wiped out shareholders' assets to the tune of €40 billion when it acquired two US mobile phone operators. The same thing happened to Daimler when it purchased American carmaker Chrysler for far too much. Eventually, both investments had to be largely written off as a loss.
But private individuals and banks also lost vast amounts of money. They purchased US securities, acquired a stake in office buildings in Dublin or invested in Spanish resorts. A large proportion of these assets disappeared, evaporating in the chaos of the global financial and European Union debt crisis.
If the Germans had invested their money at home, not only would they have received higher yields, but their country's economy would have grown more rapidly, DIW researchers discovered. This also would have produced higher tax revenues for the government.
The economists draw a clear conclusion from their analysis: The government has to spend more money on day care centers and domestic railway lines while creating incentives for more private investments in areas such as the energy and telecommunications sectors. An investment package worth €75 billion a year would not only help fuel domestic growth, but also "bolster the Spanish and Italian economies," says DIW head Marcel Fratzscher.
At first glance, that may sound like the end of strict German budgetary policies, as politicians in Southern Europe have been urging for some time now, but in reality the DIW program is nothing of the sort. The researchers don't propose taking on additional debts. Instead, the government's money would be directed to where it produces the maximum economic benefit -- for example, in the transportation network of the western German state of North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany's commercial and industrial heartland. (...)» 

sábado, 29 de junho de 2013

COMPETIÇÃO - COMPETITION - COMPETITION


Maria Shaparova (Rússia), 3.ª posição na classificação do Women´s Tennis Association (WTA):
«Dou-lhe todo o mérito. Acho que ela jogou muito bem. Ela esteve sempre muito sólida no fundo do court. Acho que não fui suficientemente agressiva. Não estava pronta depois das respostas ou dos serviços. Ela joga de forma muito agressiva. Eu simplesmente não estava lá.
É frustrante. Este torneio é muito especial para mim, é duro perder, mas vou manter a cabeça alta e fixar novos objectivos.»

«Faz parte do jogo, das coisas que temos de gerir. Magoei-me um pouco na anca. Vi que estava mais escorregadio do que o costume, nos primeiros dias o ‘court’ está sempre mais escorregadio, mas nunca vi nada assim»

Michelle de Brito (Portugal), 131.ª posição: «É a melhor vitória da minha carreira. Estava a jogar muito bem, acreditei que conseguia e nos últimos pontos dei tudo o que tinha»

Sharapova diz que Michelle Brito tem "um grande jogo"
Maria Shaparova acerca da sua concorrente antes do jogo de Wimbledon: 
«Ela é alguém que tem vindo a aparecer e tem um grande jogo. Provavelmente bastante boa na relva.»

«Fair play» da excelente tenista Maria Shaparova, num jogo de soma nula, mas com com ambas as tenistas a ganharem experiência e incentivo para continuarem as suas carreiras. O ténis tem muitos jogos num jogo e força sempre a vitória e a derrota, numa desgastante procura de obtenção de vantagens. Faria mais sentido um jogo contínuo com um resultado por acumulação de pontos.

O jogo competitivo com concorrentes é um modelo das leis dialécticas que regem a Vida na Terra, cuja transcendência pelas estratégias de cooperação abrem caminho a dimensões mais elevadas. Mas a cooperação em liberdade pode eliminar a concorrência e permitir abusos de posição dominante sem concorrência, em que são exemplos flagrantes os actuais oligopólios e cartéis, derivados de monopólios públicos. Na ausência de liberdade podem-se erguer monstros estatistas sem concorrência, como foram os horríveis exemplos nazis e soviéticos.

Face à ascensão e queda desses sistemas fechados e à crise do intervencionismo estatal do após 2.ª grande guerra mundial, emergiu de novo o "liberalismo" nos anos 80 do século XX, após ter levado a relação social materialista Capital à grande crise do final dos anos 20 e princípios dos anos 30. Este "neoliberalismo" atirou de novo o "Capital" para uma nova crise que estamos a viver, após uma abundante disponibilidade de "Capital" para se transformar em matéria e especular, com base em inovações financeiras que amplificaram os efeitos. As forças que gerem a crise são as mesmas que a despoletaram.

A abordagem dialéctica de Marx acerca da negação do monopólio feudal pela concorrência e de negação da concorrência pelo monopólio capitalista, como resultante da dinâmica histórica (síntese) era a seguinte:

Karl Marx «Misère de la philosophie». Paris (1847):
«Thesis: Feudal monopoly, before competition.
Antithesis: Competition.
Synthesis: Modern monopoly, which is the negation of feudal monopoly, in so far as it implies the system of competition, and the negation of competition in so far as it is monopoly.»

Na sua rivalidade os concorrentes entre ajudam-se indirectamente, a concorrência em liberdade tende a objectivar historicamente a subjectividade do agente histórico que influencia e é influenciado, numa grande divisão social do trabalho que torna todos dependentes de todos, com diferentes graus de liberdade. A «livre concorrência» com igualdade de poder de influência nunca existiu, e tende para a sua negação, a existência de posições dominantes que abusam das mesmas. Se as autoridades da concorrência fossem verdadeiramente eficazes não teríamos a situação que temos nos combustíveis, mesmo com cartel de produtores.

segunda-feira, 24 de junho de 2013

DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA (PARTICIPATIVA) - DEMOCRATIA RECTA - DIRECT (PARTICIPATORY) DEMOCRACY

File:Pnyx-berg2.png
«Pnyx hill, Athens» Qwqchris (Wikipedia) Creative Commons https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/deed.en, a site of the Democracy of Athens with direct dimensions of political participation of the citizens:

«Our constitution does not copy the laws of neighbouring states; we are rather a pattern to others than imitators ourselves. Its administration favours the many instead of the few; this is why it is called a democracy. If we look to the laws, they afford equal justice to all in their private differences; if no social standing, advancement in public life falls to reputation for capacity, class considerations not being allowed to interfere with merit; (...). The freedom which we enjoy in our government extends also to our ordinary life. There, far from exercising a jealous surveillance over each other, we do not feel called upon to be angry with our neighbour for doing what he likes, or even to indulge in those injurious looks which cannot fail to be offensive, although they inflict no positive penalty. But all this ease in our private relations does not make us lawless as citizens. Against this fear is our chief safeguard, teaching us to obey the magistrates and the laws, particularly such as regard the protection of the injured, whether they are actually on the statute book, or belong to that code which, although unwritten, yet cannot be broken without acknowledged disgrace.» Thucydides «History of the Peloponnesian War» (430 b.C. - 411 b.C.)

«All you need is Love» and Direct (Participatory) Democracy, DEMOCRATIA RECTA, Democracia Directa (Participativa), Democràcia Directa (Participativa), Democrazia Diretta, Democrația directă, Démocratie Directe, Direkte Demokratie, Άμεση δημοκρατία, ...

... to put Representative Democracy in the right direction (RECTUM): "a Government for the Persons by the Persons"!

Between elections we don´t want autocracies from parlamentary majorities! We need much more instances of control over representantives by representated until we have a true democratic political culture!

Brazil, Romania, Bulgaria, Greece, Turkey, ... show to us how Democracy could be corrupted by representatives and Persons demonstrate them indignation triggered by injustice! Democracy needs to be deepened, we have now cultural and historical bases for that, but the representative forces trend to maintain the status quo, them power of representation! Between representation and anarchy we have a big distance for better ways in Democracies!

KARL MARX: LEITURAS - KARL MARX: LECTIONES - KARL MARX: READINGS

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/f/f5/Marx%2BFamily_and_Engels.jpg
Karl Marx, his beloved wife Jenny von Westphalen from Prussian aristocratic family, their children Laura and Eleanor and the friend Friedrich Engels

1818, Marx was born in Trier, Trèves, AUGUSTA TREVERORUM with it Roman bridge, baths, gate (Porta Nigra) and Amphitheater that still visible.
Fitxer:Roemerbruecke Trier.jpg
Photo by Stefan Kühn, Wikipedia, Creative Commons http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.5/deed.ca)
File:Trier Kaiserthermen BW 1.JPG
File:Porta Nigra um 1900.jpg
File:Amphietheather von Trier gross.jpg
File:Amphitheater Trier und Circus.jpg
File:Trier Porta Nigra Modell.jpg
File:Augusta Treverorum.jpg
«Augusta Treverorum, Porta Nigra, Amphitheater and Circus, Model in the Rheinisches Landesmuseum Trier, built by Joachim Woditsch, Trier» - photos by Stefan Kühn (Wikipedia) Creative Commons (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/deed.it)

The city is a confluence of Latin world, Frankish world and German world on the banks of the Moselle (Mosel)
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/3/3e/Mosel_Einzugsgebiet.png
Trier, Bonn (University), Berlin (University), Jena (University), Cologne, Paris, London a long way for Marx work.

The point of view of Marx from XIX century is very interesting about World reality that influence XXI century and that trancend the vulgata about him work, caused by himself, him vision of classes and dogmatism, the historical environment of him century, and by the opportunistic and simplistic "followers" of XX century that created monstruous political systems without any respect for Persons.

We begin with the follow reading proposal where we can see Portugal:

«Secret Diplomatic History of The Eighteenth Century» Karl Marx (Editor: Eleanor Marx Aveling:




«To understand a limited historical epoch, we must step beyond its limits, and compare it with other historical epochs. To judge Governments and their acts, we must measure them by their own times and the conscience of their contemporaries.»

«Sir George Macartney to the Earl of Sandwich.
"St. Petersburg, 1st (12th) March, 1765.
"Most Secret.
(...) in case the Spaniards attacked Portugal, we might have 15,000 Russians in our pay to send upon that
service."»

«The oligarchy which, after the "glorious revolution," usurped wealth and power at the cost of the mass of the British people, was, of course, forced to look out for allies, not only abroad, but also at home. The latter they found in what the French would call la haute bourgeoisie, as represented by the Bank of England, the     money-lenders, State creditors, East India and other trading corporations, the great manufacturers, etc. Howtenderly they managed the material interests of that class may be learned from the whole of their domestic      legislation—Bank Acts, Protectionist enactments, Poor Regulations, etc. As to their foreign policy, they    wanted to give it the appearance at least of being altogether regulated by the mercantile interest, an               appearance the more easily to be produced, as the exclusive interest of one or the other small fraction of that
class would, of course, be always identified with this or that Ministerial measure. The interested fraction then raised the commerce and navigation cry, which the nation stupidly re-echoed.
At that time, then, there devolved on the Cabinet, at least, the onus of inventing mercantile pretexts, however futile, for their measures of foreign policy. In our own epoch, British Ministers have thrown this burden on foreign nations, leaving to the French, the Germans, etc., the irksome task of discovering the secret and hidden mercantile springs of their actions. Lord Palmerston, for instance, takes a step apparently the most damaging to the material interests of Great Britain. Up starts a State philosopher, on the other side of the Atlantic, or of the Channel, or in the heart of Germany, who puts his head to the rack to dig out the mysteries of the mercantile Machiavelism of "perfide Albion," of which Palmerston is supposed the unscrupulous and unflinching executor. We will, en passant, show, by a few modern instances, what desperate shifts those foreigners have been driven to, who feel themselves obliged to interpret Palmerston's acts by what they imagine to be the English commercial policy. In his valuable Histoire Politique et Sociale des Principautés Danubiennes, M. Elias Regnault, startled by the Russian conduct, before and during the years 1848-49 of Mr. Colquhoun, the British Consul at Bucharest, suspects that England has some secret material interest in keeping down the trade of the Principalities. The late Dr. Cunibert, private physician of old Milosh, in his most interesting account of the Russian intrigues in Servia, gives a curious relation of the manner in which Lord Palmerston, through the instrumentality of Colonel Hodges, betrayed Milosh to Russia by feigning to support him against her. Fully believing in the personal integrity of Hodges, and the patriotic zeal of Palmerston, Dr. Cunibert is found to go a step further than M. Elias Regnault. He suspects England of being interested in putting down Turkish commerce generally. General Mieroslawski, in his last work on Poland, is not very far from intimating that mercantile Machiavelism instigated England to sacrifice her own prestige in Asia Minor, by the surrender of Kars. As a last instance may serve the present lucubrations of the Paris papers, hunting after the secret springs of commercial jealousy, which induce Palmerston to oppose the cutting of the Isthmus of Suez canal.»
And now we propose readings in Karl Marx and Frederick Engels contributs for Neue Rheinische Zeitung Revue (1850) where we can see the Cape of Good Hope, New Grenada, Panama, about the Isthmus, the link between oceans, the emergency of Pacific (
by the United States of America development East to West) that would be replace Atlantic as Mediterrean Sea was replaced, the European Democracy:
front cover of revue
«While the Continent has been occupied for the last two years with revolution and counter-revolution, and the inevitable torrent of words which has accompanied these events, industrial England has been busy with quite another commodity: prosperity. Here, the commercial crisis which broke out in due course in the autumn of 1845 was twice interrupted — at the beginning of 1846 by the free trade legislation, and at the beginning of 1848 by the February revolution. Between these two events, a large proportion of the commodities which had been flooding markets abroad gradually found new market outlets, and the
February revolution then removed the competition of continental industry in these markets, while English industry did not lose much more from the disruption of the continental market than it would have lost without the revolution from a continuation of the crisis. The February revolution, by temporarily bringing continental industry almost to a standstill, helped the English to weather a crisis year quite tolerably; it contributed substantially to clearing accumulated stocks on the overseas markets and made a new industrial boom possible in the spring of 1849. This boom which, moreover, has extended to a large part of continental industry, has reached such a level in the last three months that the manufacturers claim that they have never known such good times — a claim which is always made on the eve of a crisis. The factories are overwhelmed with orders and are operating at an accelerated rate; they are resorting to every possible means to circumvent the Ten Hours Act and to increase working hours; scores of new factories are being built throughout the industrial districts, and old ones are being extended. Ready money is being loaded onto the market, idle capital is striving to take advantage of this period of general profit; the discount rate is giving rise to speculation and quick investments in manufacturing or in trade in raw materials; almost all articles are rising absolutely in price; all prices are rising relatively.
In short, England is enjoying the full bloom of 'prosperity'. The only question is how long this intoxication will last. Not very long, at any rate. Many of the larger markets — particularly the East Indies — are already almost saturated. Even now exports are being directed less to the really large markets than to the entrepots of world trade, from where goods can be directed to the more favourable markets. As a result of the colossal productive forces which English industry added in the years 1846, 1847 and particularly 1849 to those which already existed in the period 1843-45, and which it still continues to add to, the remaining markets, particularly in North and South America and Australia, will be likewise saturated; and with the first news of their saturation 'panic' will ensue in speculation and in production simultaneously — perhaps as
early as the end of spring, at the latest in July or August. However, as this crisis will inevitably coincide with great clashes on the Continent, it will bear fruit of a very different type from all preceding crises. Whereas hitherto every crisis has been the signal for further progress, for new victories by the industrial bourgeoisie over the landowners and financial bourgeoisie, this crisis will mark the beginning of the modern English revolution, a revolution in which Cobden will assume the role of Necker.
Now we come to America The most important thing which has happened here, still more important than the February revolution, is the discovery of the Californian gold mines. Even now, after scarcely eighteen months, it can be predicted that this discovery will have much greater consequences than the discovery of America itself. For three hundred and thirty years all trade from Europe to the Pacific Ocean has been conducted with a touching, long-suffering patience around the Cape of Good Hope or Cape Horn. All proposals to cut through the Isthmus of Panama have come to grief because of the narrow-minded jealousy of the trading nations. The Californian gold mines were only discovered eighteen months ago and the Yankees have already set about building a railway, a great overland road and a canal from the Gulf of Mexico,
steamships are already sailing regularly from New York to Chagres, from Panama to San Francisco, Pacific trade is already concentrating in Panama and the journey around Cape Horn has become obsolete. A coastline which stretches across thirty degrees of latitude, one of the most beautiful and fertile in the world and hitherto more or less unpopulated, is now being visibly transformed into a rich, civilized land thickly populated by men of all races, from the Yankee to the Chinese, from the Negro to the Indian and Malay, from the Creole and Mestizo to the European. Californian gold is pouring in torrents over America and the Asiatic coast of the Pacific and is drawing the reluctant barbarian peoples into world trade, into the civilized world. For the second time world trade has found a new direction. What Tyre, Carthage and Alexandria were in antiquity, Genoa and Venice in the Middle Ages, what London and Liverpool have been hitherto, the emporia of world trade — this is what New York, San Francisco, San Juan del Norte, Léon, Chagres and Panama will now become. The focal point of international traffic --in the Middle Ages, Italy; in modern times,England — is now the southern half of the North American peninsula: industry and wealth of others, who demanded and still demand a different distribution of property — indeed the total abolition of private property. When Herr Gützlaff came back among civilized people and Europeans after twenty years' absence,he heard talk of socialism and asked what it was. When he was told, he exclaimed in alarm: 'Am I nowhere to escape this ruinous doctrine? Precisely the same thing has been preached for some time in China by many people from the mob.'
Chinese socialism may, of course, bear the same relation to European socialism as Chinese to Hegelian philosophy. But it is still amusing to note that the oldest and most unshakeable empire on earth has, within
eight years, been brought to the brink of a social revolution by the cotton bales of the English bourgeoisie; in any event, such a revolution cannot help but have the most important consequences for the civilized world. When our European reactionaries, in the course of their imminent flight through Asia, finally arrive at the Great Wall of China, at the gates which lead to the home of primal reaction and primal conservatism, who knows if they will not find written thereon the legend:
République chinoise
Liberté, Egalité, Fraternité
London, 31 January 1850»
«We now come to the United States of America. The crisis of 1836, which broke out there first and raged most violently, lasted almost without interruption until 1842 and led to a complete transformation of the American credit system. The commerce of the United States recovered on this more solid foundation, if at first very slowly, until from 1842 to 1845 prosperity significantly increased there, too. The rise in prices and the revolution in Europe only brought benefits for America. From 1845 to 1847 it profited from the enormous export of grain and from the 1846 rise in cotton prices. In1849 it produced the largest cotton crop to date, and in 1850 it made about $20 million from the loss in the cotton crop, which coincided with the new boom in the European cotton industry. The revolutions of 1848 caused a large-scale flow of European capital to the United States, which arrived partly with the immigrants themselves and was partly attributable to European investments in American treasury bonds. This increase in demand for American bonds has forced up their price to such an extent that recently in New York speculators have been seizing on them quite feverishly. Thus, despite all assertions to the contrary in the reactionary bourgeois press, we still maintain that the only form of state to enjoy the confidence of our European capitalists is the bourgeois republic. There is only one expression of bourgeois confidence in any form of state: its quotation on the stock exchange.
However, the prosperity of the United States increased even more for other reasons. The populated area, the home market of the North American union, extended with surprising rapidity in two directions. The population increase, due both to reproduction within America and to the continuing increase in immigration, led to the settlement of whole states and territories. Wisconsin and Iowa were comparatively densely populated within a few years, and there was a significant increase in immigrants to all states in the upper Mississippi region. The exploitation of the mines on Lake Superior and the rising grain production in the whole area around the Great Lakes produced a new boom in commerce and shipping on this system of great inland waterways, which will expand further as a result of an act passed during the last session of Congress, by which trade with Canada and Nova Scotia has been greatly facilitated. While the northwestern states have thus gained a new importance, Oregon has been colonized within a few years, Texas and New Mexico annexed and California conquered. The discovery of the Californian gold mines has set the cap on American prosperity. In the second number of this Revue — before any other European journal — we drew attention to the importance of this discovery and its necessary consequences for the whole of world trade. This importance does not lie in the increased supply of gold from the newly discovered mines, although this ncrease in the means of exchange was bound to have consequences for commerce in general. It lies rather in the spur given to investment on the world market by the mineral wealth of California, in the activity into which the whole west coast of America and the eastern coast of Asia has been plunged, in the new market outlets created in California and in all the other countries affected by California. Even taken by itself the Californian market is very important; a year ago there were 100,000 people there; now there are at least 300,000 people, who are producing almost nothing but gold, and who are exchanging this gold for their basic living requirements from foreign markets. But the Californian market itself is unimportant compared to the continual expansion of all the markets on the Pacific coast, compared to the striking increase in trade withChile and Peru, western Mexico and the Sandwich Islands, and compared to the traffic which has suddenly arisen between Asia, Australia and California. Because of California, completely new international routes have become necessary, routes which will inevitably soon surpass all others in importance. The main trading route to the Pacific Ocean — which has really only now been opened up, and which will become the most important ocean in the world — will, from now on, go across the Isthmus of Panama. The establishment of links across the Isthmus by highways, railways and canals is now the most urgent requirement of world trade and has already been tackled in places. The railway from Chagres to Panama is already being built. An American company is having the river basin of San Juan del Norte surveyed with a view to connecting the two oceans, first of all by an overland route and then by a canal. Other routes — across the Isthmus of Darien, the Atrato route in New Granada, across the Isthmus of Tehuantepec — are being discussed in English and American journals. The ignorance in the whole civilized world about the conditions of the terrain in Central America, which has now suddenly been exposed, makes it impossible to determine which route is the most advantageous for a great canal; according to the little information available, the Atrato route and the way across Panama seem to offer the best opportunities. The rapid expansion of the ocean steamer lines has become equally urgent, in order to connect up with the lines of communication across the Isthmus. Steamers are already sailing between Southampton and Chagres, New York and Chagres, Valparaiso, Lima, Panama, Acapulco and San Francisco; but these few lines, with their small number of steamers, are by no means adequate. The increase in steamer lines between Europe and Chagres becomes daily more urgent, and the growing traffic between Asia, Australia and America requires great new steamship lines from Panama and San Francisco to Canton, Singapore, Sydney, New Zealand and the most important station in the Pacific, the Sandwich Islands. Of all the areas in the Pacific Australia and New Zealand in particular have expanded most, as a result of both the rapid progress of colonization and the influence of California, and they do not want to be divided from the civilized world a moment longer by a four to six-month sea voyage. The total population of the Australian colonies (excluding New Zealand) rose from 170,676 in 1839 to 333,764 in 1848; that is, it increased in nine years by 95 1/2 per cent. England itself cannot leave these colonies without steamship links; and the government is negotiating at this moment for a line connecting with the Indian overland post. Whether this linecomes about or not, the sheer necessity of a steamship connection with America, and particularly California, where 3,500 people from Australia emigrated to last year, will itself produce a solution. It may be said that the world has only become round since the necessity has arisen for this global steam shipping.
This imminent expansion in steam shipping will be increased further by the opening up of the Dutch colonies already mentioned and by the increase in screw steamers, with which — as is becoming increasingly clear — emigrants can be transported more rapidly, relatively cheaper and more profitably than with sailing ships. Apart from the screw steamers which already sail from Glasgow and Liverpool to New York, new ones are to be employed on this line and a shipping line is to be established between Rotterdam and New York. How universal is the present tendency for capital to flow into oceanic steam shipping is proved by the continuous increase in the number of steamers competing between Liverpool and New York, the establishment of entirely new lines from England to the Cape and from New York to Le Havre, and a whole series of similar schemes which are being hawked around New York.
With the investment of capital in oceanic steam shipping and the building of canals across the American isthmus the ground has already been laid for excess speculation in this area. The centre of this speculation is necessarily New York, which receives the great mass of Californian gold. It has already taken control of the main trade with California and in general performs the same function for the whole of America as London does for Europe. New York is already the centre of all transatlantic steam shipping. All the Pacific steam ships belong to New York companies, and almost all new projects in this branch of industry start in New York. Speculation in foreign steamship lines has already begun in these, and the Nicaragua Company, which was launched in New York, similarly represents the beginning of speculation in the isthmus canals. Overspeculation will soon develop, and even though English capital is flowing en masse into all such undertakings, even though the London Stock Exchange will be inundated with all sorts of similar schemes, New York will still remain the centre of the whole bubble, this time as in 1836, and will be the first to experience its collapse. Innumerable schemes will be ruined, but as with the English railway system in 1845, at least the outline of a universal shipping system will this time emerge from this over-speculation. No matter how many companies go bankrupt, the steamships — which are doubling the Atlantic traffic, opening up the Pacific, connecting up Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and China with America and are reducing the journey around the world to four months — the steamships will remain.
The prosperity in England and America soon made itself felt on the European continent. As early as summer 1849 the factories in Germany, particularly in the Rhine province, were quite busy again, and since the end of 1849 there has been a general recovery of business. This renewed prosperity, which our German bourgeois naively attribute to the restoration of stability and order, is based in reality only upon the renewed prosperity in England and upon the increased demand for industrial products on the American and tropical markets. In 1850 industry and trade have recovered even further. Just as in England, there has been a temporary surplus of capital and an extraordinary easing of the money market, and the reports of the Frankfurt and Leipzig autumn fairs have reportedly been extremely satisfactory for the bourgeoisie taking part. The troubles in Schleswig-Holstein and Electoral Hesse, the quarrels within the Prussian Union and the threatening notes exchanged between Austria and Prussia have not been able to hold back the development of all these symptoms of prosperity for a moment, as even the Economist noted, with mocking cockney smugness...
(...)
We now come to the abstract country, the European nation, the nation of the exiles. We shall not mention the individual groups of exiles, the Germans, French, Hungarians, etc; their haute politique is limited to pure chronique scandaleuse. But Europe and the people as a whole have recently been given a provisional government in the form of the European Central Committee, consisting of Joseph Mazzini, Ledru-Rollin, Albert Danu (the Pole) and — Arnold Ruge, who modestly justifies his presence by writing 'member of the Frankfurt National Assembly' after his name. Although it is impossible to say which democratic council has called these four evangelists to office, their manifesto undeniably contains the creed of the broad mass of the exiles and summarizes in fitting form the intellectual achievements which this mass owes to the recent revolution.
The manifesto begins with a pompous enumeration of the strengths of democracy.
"What does democracy lack for the achievement of its victory?... Organization... We have sects but no church, incomplete and contradictory philosophies but no religion, no collective belief which can assemble the believers under a single sign and harmonize their work... The day on which we find ourselves all united, marching together under the eyes of the best among us... will be the eve of the struggle. On this day we shall have counted our numbers, we shall know who we are, we shall be conscious of our power.
Why has the revolution not yet succeeded? Because the organization of revolutionary power has been weak.This is the first decree of the exiles' provisional government.
This state of affairs is to be remedied by the organization of an army of believers, and the founding of a religion.
But to achieve this two great obstacles must be surmounted, two great errors overcome: the exaggeration of the rights of individuality, the narrow-minded exclusiveness of theory... We must not say T: we must learn to say 'we'...those who follow their individual susceptibilities refuse to make the small sacrifices demanded by organization and discipline and deny the total body of beliefs which they preach, as a result of the habits of the past... Exclusiveness in theory is the negation of our basic dogma He who says, 'I have discovered a political truth,' and who makes the acceptance of his system into a condition of acceptance into the fraternal association, disavows the people — the only progressive interpreter of the world law — merely in order to assert his own ego. He who maintains that be is able today to discover a definitive solution to the problems which activate the m by means of the isolated labour of his intellect, however powerful it may be, condemns himself to the error of incompleteness by abandoning one of the eternal sources of truth: the collective intuition of the people in action. The definitive solution is the of our victory... Far the most part our systems can be nothing but a dissection of corpses, a discovery of evil and an analysis of death, incapable of perceiving or comprehending life. Life is the people in movement, the instinct of the masses raised to an extraordinary power by common contact, by the prophetic feeling of great things to be achieved, by spontaneous, sudden, electric association in the street. It is action, exciting to their highest pitch all the latent powers of hope, devotion, love and enthusiasm which are now dormant, revealing man in the unity of his nature, in the full vigour of his potency. The handshake of a worker at one of those historic moments which begin an epoch will teach us more about the organization of the future than can be taught today by the cold and heartless labour of reason or by knowledge of the illustrious dead of the last two millennia of the old society."
So, in the end, all this highfalutin nonsense amounts to the highly vulgar and philistine view that the revolution failed because of the jealous ambition of the individual leaders, and because of the conflicting opinions of the various popular teachers.
The struggles of the different classes and fractions of classes with one another, which in their development through specific phases is precisely what constitutes the revolution, are, for our evangelists, only the unhappy consequence of divergent systems. However, the divergent systems are in reality the result of the existence of class struggles. It becomes clear even from this that the authors of the manifesto deny the existence of the class struggle. Under the pretext of fighting the doctrinaire they dispense with all specific realities of the situation, all specific partisan views. They forbid the individual classes to formulate their interests and demands in the face of other classes. They expect the classes to forget their conflicting interests and to reconcile themselves under the banner of something hollow and brazenly vague, which, in the guise of reconciling the interests of all parties, only conceals the domination by one party and its interests — the party of the bourgeoisie. After what these gentlemen must have experienced in France, Germany and Italy during the last two years it cannot even be said that the hypocrisy by means of which they wrap bourgeois interests in a Lamartinian rhetoric of brotherhood is unconscious. How much the gentlemen know about 'systems' is shown, moreover, by the fact that they imagine each of these systems to be merely a fragment of the wisdom compiled in the manifesto, and to be based solely on one of the rhetorical phrases assembled here: freedom, equality, etc. Their notions of social organization are highly striking: a riot in the street, a brawl, a shake of the hand, and that is that! For them the whole revolution consists merely in the overthrow of the existing governments; once this aim hasbeen achieved, 'victory' will have been won. The movement, the development, the struggle then comes to an end, and under the aegis of the then ruling European Central Committee the golden age of the European Republic and the permanent rule of the nightcap can begin. Just as they hate development and struggle, these gentlemen hate thought, callous thought — as if any thinker, including Hegel and Ricardo, would ever have achieved that degree of callousness with which this mealy-mouthed swill is poured over the heads of the public. The people are not to worry about the morrow, they must empty their heads of ideas. When the great day of decision comes, they will be electrified by mere physical contact and the riddle of the future will be solved for the people by a miracle. This summons to empty-headedness is a direct attempt to swindle precisely those classes who are most oppressed. One member of the European Central Committee asks,
In saying this, do we mean that we are to march on without a banner; do we mean that we wish to inscribe a negation on our banner? Such a suspicion cannot be directed at us. As men of the people, who have been part of the struggle for many years, we do not for one moment consider leading them into an empty future.
On the contrary, to prove the fullness of their future these gentlemen present a record — worthy of Leporello himself — of eternal truths and achievements from the whole course of history. This record is put forward as the common ground of 'democracy' in our day and age and is summed up in the following edifying paternoster:
"We believe in the progressive development of human ability and strength towards the moral law which has been imposed upon us. We believe in association as the only means to achieve this end. We believe that the interpretation of this moral law and the law of progress can be entrusted to the charge of neither a caste nor an individual, but to the people, enlightened by national education, led by those from its midst whom virtue and the people's genius show to be the best. We believe in the sacredness of both individuality and society, which should never exclude nor conflict with each other, but should harmonize for the betterment of all by all. We believe in freedom, without which all human responsibility disappears; in equality, without which freedom is only an illusion; in brotherhood, without which freedom and equality would be means without an end; in association, without which brotherhood would be an unrealizable programme; in family. community, state and fatherland as equally progressive spheres which man must successively grow into, in the knowledge and application of freedom, equality, brotherhood and association. We believe in the sanctity of work and in property which arises from work as its symbol and fruit; we believe in the duty of society to provide the means for material work through credit and the means for mental work through education... to sum up, we believe in a social condition which has God and His law as its apex, and the people as its base..."
So: progress — association — moral law — freedom — equality — brotherhood — association — family, community, state — sanctity of property — credit — education — God and the people — Dio e popolo. These phrases figure in all the manifestoes of the 1848 revolutions, from the French to the Wallachian, and it is precisely for that reason that they figure here as the common basis of the new revolution. In none of these revolutions was the sanctity of property, here sanctified as the product of work, forgotten. Eighty years before their time Adam Smith knew much better than our revolutionary pioneers the precise extent to which bourgeois property is 'the fruit and symbol of work'. As for the socialist concession that society shall grant everyone the material means for work through credit, every manufacturer is accustomed to give his worker credit for as much material as he can process in a week. The credit system is as widely extended nowadays as is compatible with the inviolability of property, and credit itself is after all only a form of bourgeois property.
Summarized, this gospel teaches a social order in which God forms the apex and the people — or, as is said later, humanity — the base. That is, they believe in society as it exists, in which, as is well known, God is at the apex and the mob at the base. Although Mazzini's creed, God and the people, Dio e popolo, may have a meaning in Italy, where the Pope is equated with God and the princes with the people, it is a bit much to offer this plagiarism of Johannes Ronge, the most insipid swill of the German pseudo-Enlightenment, as the key which will solve the riddle of the century. Furthermore, how easily the members of this school accustom themselves to the small sacrifices which organization and discipline demand, how willingly they give up the narrow exclusiveness of theory is demonstrated by our friend, Arnold Winkelried Ruge, who, to Leo's great joy, has this time been able to recognize the difference between divinity and humanity.
The manifesto ends with the words:
"What is needed is a constitution for European democracy, and the foundation of a people's budget or exchequer. What is needed is the organization of an army of initiators."
In order to be one of the first initiators of the people's budget Ruge has turned to 'de demokratische Jantjes van Amsterdam' — the democratic citizens of Amsterdam — to explain to them their special vocation and duty to provide money. Holland is in distress!
London, 1 November 1850»